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Betting tips › Allsvenskan ›  IF Elfsborg v Malmö FF

 AllsvenskanFri 23 Oct 17:00 UTCBoras Arena

IF Elfsborg v Malmö FF tips

ELFIF ElfsborgWWLWD
VS
MALMalmö FFLWDWL
The model callIF ElfsborgMatch result2.05★★★★2 stars

Elfsborg look strong at home with recent wins and Malmo are struggling for consistency on the road. The prices make the home side a fair option to take all three points.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$41
Profit$21
Why it might land
  • IF Elfsborg come into this fixture at Boras Arena with a solid recent run of form that includes four wins from their last five matches.
  • Malmo FF travel with mixed momentum after suffering two defeats in their last five outings which exposes vulnerability in their side.
  • The available price of 2.05 on an IF Elfsborg victory offers decent value for a team holding clear home advantage over this opponent.
Why it might not
  • Malmo FF remain dangerous opponents despite recent losses and showed they can pick up results by winning two of their last five matches.
  • IF Elfsborg stumbled in their recent fixtures with a draw and a defeat which proves they are not completely immune to dropping points.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Recent form for both sides features enough goals at both ends to suggest each team will find the net during this ninety minutes.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Both teams show mixed defensive results in their recent matches which points towards an open game with a few goals scored.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes IF Elfsborg the side to beat here at 46%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on IF Elfsborg, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Elfsborg look strong at home with recent wins and Malmo are struggling for consistency on the road. The prices make the home side a fair option to take all three points.

Form and momentum

IF Elfsborg come in strong, winning 71% of 7 on record. 3 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 2 wins in a row.

Malmö FF come in patchy, winning 43% of 7 on record. 2 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 46% for ELF, 26% for the draw and 28% for MAL once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward IF Elfsborg, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 2.05, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Malmo FF remain dangerous opponents despite recent losses and showed they can pick up results by winning two of their last five matches.
  • IF Elfsborg stumbled in their recent fixtures with a draw and a defeat which proves they are not completely immune to dropping points.
The bottom line

We back IF Elfsborg for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsELF +105
ELF2.05draw3.60MAL3.30

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

ELFIF Elfsborg7 games on record
Won5
Drawn1
Lost1
  • Scored11and let in4
  • At home3 winsfrom3
  • Right now2 wins in a row
Last fiveWWLWD
MALMalmö FF7 games on record
Won3
Drawn1
Lost3
  • Scored7and let in8
  • On the road2 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWDWL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Elfsborg or Malmo tonight?

The site model goes for Elfsborg at 2.05 because they are strong at home and Malmo struggle on the road. Yet Malmo are still dangerous and won two of their last five games. What are you all on for thi...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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