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Betting tips › MLS ›  Houston Dynamo FC v Minnesota United FC

 MLSSun 25 Oct 00:30 UTCShell Energy Stadium

Houston Dynamo FC v Minnesota United FC tips

HOUHouston Dynamo FCLDLWD
VS
MINMinnesota United FCLLLLL
The model callHouston Dynamo FCMatch result2.05★★★★2 stars

Houston play at home against an opponent in awful form. Minnesota keep losing matches while the hosts look capable of taking all three points at Shell Energy Stadium.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$41
Profit$21
Why it might land
  • Houston Dynamo FC come into this fixture at home after a recent win and two draws that show they can pick up points.
  • Minnesota United FC arrive in miserable form having suffered five straight defeats in their most recent outings on the pitch.
  • The price of 2.05 on a home win gives decent value given the stark contrast in recent results between the two sides.
Why it might not
  • Houston Dynamo FC have also lost two of their last five matches which shows they can be fragile in defence.
  • Minnesota United FC desperately need a result to stop their losing run and might find a way to frustrate the hosts.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both sides struggle to keep clean sheets based on their recent defensive records.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

We lack pricing on the goal lines so it is hard to find any real edge on the total.

Opens the books licensed in United States
!

This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Houston Dynamo FC the side to beat here at 45%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Houston Dynamo FC, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Houston play at home against an opponent in awful form. Minnesota keep losing matches while the hosts look capable of taking all three points at Shell Energy Stadium.

Form and momentum

Houston Dynamo FC come in patchy, winning 40% of 10 on record. 2 of their 5 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side built on a tight back line. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

Minnesota United FC come in poor, winning 11% of 9 on record. 1 of their 5 away games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 5 losss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 45% for HOU, 26% for the draw and 29% for MIN once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Houston Dynamo FC, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 2.05, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Houston Dynamo FC have also lost two of their last five matches which shows they can be fragile in defence.
  • Minnesota United FC desperately need a result to stop their losing run and might find a way to frustrate the hosts.
The bottom line

We back Houston Dynamo FC for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsHOU +105
HOU2.05draw3.60MIN3.15

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

HOUHouston Dynamo FC10 games on record
Won4
Drawn3
Lost3
  • Scored9and let in8
  • At home2 winsfrom5
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLDLWD
MINMinnesota United FC9 games on record
Won1
Drawn2
Lost6
  • Scored20and let in24
  • On the road1 winsfrom5
  • Right now5 losss in a row
Last fiveLLLLL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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