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Betting tips › MLS ›  Houston Dynamo FC v FC Dallas

 MLSSun 18 Oct 00:30 UTCShell Energy Stadium

Houston Dynamo FC v FC Dallas tips

HOUHouston Dynamo FCLDLWD
VS
DALFC DallasWDWWW
The model callFC DallasMatch result3.00★★★★2 stars

Dallas arrive in much better form than their rivals and the price looks generous enough to back them. Houston are struggling for wins right now.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$60
Profit$40
Why it might land
  • FC Dallas head into this match on the back of a very strong run of form that includes four wins and one draw from their last five outings.
  • Houston Dynamo FC are struggling to find any consistency after picking up only one win alongside two draws and two losses in their recent matches.
  • The market prices FC Dallas at three to one to win this match which offers solid value given their superior momentum compared to the hosts.
Why it might not
  • Playing away from home at Shell Energy Stadium is always a tough test regardless of how the hosts have been performing in the league lately.
  • Houston Dynamo FC will be desperate to turn their poor form around and avoid another defeat in front of their own supporters this weekend.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both teams have enough attacking talent to find the net despite their contrasting recent results.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

We have no official goal line pricing to guide us here so this market remains a total guess.

Opens the books licensed in United States
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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Houston Dynamo FC the side to beat here at 42%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on FC Dallas, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Dallas arrive in much better form than their rivals and the price looks generous enough to back them. Houston are struggling for wins right now.

Form and momentum

Houston Dynamo FC come in patchy, winning 40% of 10 on record. 2 of their 5 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side built on a tight back line. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

FC Dallas come in strong, winning 67% of 9 on record. 3 of their 5 away games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 42% for HOU, 27% for the draw and 31% for DAL once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Houston Dynamo FC, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 3.00, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Playing away from home at Shell Energy Stadium is always a tough test regardless of how the hosts have been performing in the league lately.
  • Houston Dynamo FC will be desperate to turn their poor form around and avoid another defeat in front of their own supporters this weekend.
The bottom line

We back FC Dallas for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsHOU +120
HOU2.20draw3.40DAL3.00

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

HOUHouston Dynamo FC10 games on record
Won4
Drawn3
Lost3
  • Scored9and let in8
  • At home2 winsfrom5
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLDLWD
DALFC Dallas9 games on record
Won6
Drawn2
Lost1
  • Scored18and let in17
  • On the road3 winsfrom5
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWDWWW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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