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Betting tips › 2. Bundesliga ›  Holstein Kiel v Dynamo Dresden

 2. BundesligaSun 25 Oct 12:30 UTCHolstein-Stadion

Holstein Kiel v Dynamo Dresden tips

KSVHolstein KielDLDLD
VS
SGDDynamo DresdenLDLLW
The model callDrawMatch result3.70★★★★1 star

Holstein Kiel and Dynamo Dresden both struggle to find wins in recent weeks. A close draw matches their current form.

Stake1 unit
That is$10
Returns$37
Profit$27
Why it might land
  • Holstein Kiel enter this match after picking up three draws and two losses in their last five fixtures.
  • Dynamo Dresden show a very similar run of form with one win one draw and three defeats recently.
  • The bookmakers offer a decent price of 3.70 for the stalemate between these evenly matched sides.
Why it might not
  • Holstein Kiel failed to win any of their last five matches which makes backing them for a draw a nervy affair.
  • Dynamo Dresden managed a win in their most recent outing and might carry some unexpected momentum into this fixture.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Neither side shows a strong enough defence to keep a clean sheet here.

Total goalsUnder 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Both teams struggle for consistent goals based on their recent form guides.

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!

This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Holstein Kiel the side to beat here at 42%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Draw, and it backs that with a 1 unit stake. Holstein Kiel and Dynamo Dresden both struggle to find wins in recent weeks. A close draw matches their current form.

Form and momentum

Holstein Kiel come in poor, winning 0% of 6 on record. 0 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

Dynamo Dresden come in poor, winning 17% of 6 on record. 0 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 42% for KSV, 25% for the draw and 33% for SGD once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 3.70, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Holstein Kiel failed to win any of their last five matches which makes backing them for a draw a nervy affair.
  • Dynamo Dresden managed a win in their most recent outing and might carry some unexpected momentum into this fixture.
The bottom line

We back Draw for 1 unit. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsKSV +125
KSV2.25draw3.70SGD2.85

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

KSVHolstein Kiel6 games on record
Won0
Drawn4
Lost2
  • Scored7and let in10
  • At homeno winsfrom3
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDLDLD
SGDDynamo Dresden6 games on record
Won1
Drawn1
Lost4
  • Scored8and let in14
  • On the road0 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLDLLW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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