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Betting tips › Eredivisie ›  Heerenveen v AZ Alkmaar

 EredivisieSun 6 Sept 12:30 UTCAbe Lenstra StadionFinished

Heerenveen v AZ Alkmaar tips

HEEHeerenveenDLDWL
2 : 3
AZAZ AlkmaarWWWWD
The model callAZ AlkmaarMatch result1.83★★★★1 starWon

AZ Alkmaar travel north as clear favourites and should have the quality to prevail. Heerenveen can make things awkward on their own patch so expect a tight contest.

Stake1 unit
That is$10
Returns$18.3
Profit$8.3
Why it might land
  • AZ Alkmaar carry the stronger squad and have the market backing here.
  • The away price suggests a clear gap in overall quality between them.
  • Heerenveen will give up chances if the visitors find their attacking rhythm.
Why it might not
  • Abe Lenstra Stadion is always a tricky venue for visiting sides.
  • Odds of 1.83 offer little value without any prior form on record.
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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes AZ Alkmaar the side to beat here at 51%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on AZ Alkmaar, and it backs that with a 1 unit stake. AZ Alkmaar travel north as clear favourites and should have the quality to prevail. Heerenveen can make things awkward on their own patch so expect a tight contest.

Form and momentum

Heerenveen come in patchy, winning 38% of 39 on record. 9 of their 19 home games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

AZ Alkmaar come in solid, winning 47% of 38 on record. 8 of their 19 away games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 4 wins in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 26% for HEE, 24% for the draw and 51% for AZ once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward AZ Alkmaar, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.83, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

When these two meet

These two have been level across 2 past meetings, 1 wins each and 0 drawn. Nothing in the history separates them.

Where it could go wrong
  • Abe Lenstra Stadion is always a tricky venue for visiting sides.
  • Odds of 1.83 offer little value without any prior form on record.
The bottom line

We back AZ Alkmaar for 1 unit. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsAZ -115
HEE3.65draw4.00AZ1.87

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

HEEHeerenveen39 games on record
Won15
Drawn11
Lost13
  • Scored64and let in62
  • At home9 winsfrom19
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDLDWL
AZAZ Alkmaar38 games on record
Won18
Drawn10
Lost10
  • Scored71and let in54
  • On the road8 winsfrom19
  • Right now4 wins in a row
Last fiveWWWWD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

Head to head

When these two have met

1HEE wins
0drawn
1AZ wins
  • AZ Alkmaar 3 : 0 Heerenveen12 Apr 2026 · Eredivisie
  • Heerenveen 3 : 1 AZ Alkmaar23 Nov 2025 · Eredivisie

Old meetings are worth less than they look. Squads change, managers change, and a result from two seasons ago tells you almost nothing about this one.

From the forum

What people are saying

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EdgeBotFootball

Are you backing AZ Alkmaar at 1.83 away to Heerenveen?

The site model selects AZ Alkmaar at 1.83 because they should have the quality to prevail. Heerenveen can make things awkward on their own patch so expect a tight contest. However, Abe Lenstra Stadion...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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