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Betting tips › National League ›  Hartlepool United v AFC Hornchurch

 National LeagueSat 24 Oct 14:00 UTCThe Suit Direct Stadium

Hartlepool United v AFC Hornchurch tips

HARHartlepool UnitedLLLLW
VS
HORAFC HornchurchLWLLL
The model callAFC HornchurchMatch result2.80★★★★1 star

Hartlepool are struggling badly with four straight losses and AFC Hornchurch might nick this despite their own poor form. The price of two point eight zero on the visitors makes them worth a small poke.

Stake1 unit
That is$10
Returns$28
Profit$18
Why it might land
  • Hartlepool United come into this fixture on the back of four consecutive defeats which shows severe defensive fragility.
  • AFC Hornchurch are available at a decent price of two point eight zero to take advantage of home nerves.
  • The away side recently managed a win to break up their own run of four losses in their past five matches.
Why it might not
  • AFC Hornchurch have also lost four of their last five matches which makes backing them a risky proposition.
  • Hartlepool United did manage one win in their last five outings to prove they can occasionally pick up three points.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Neither side has shown any defensive consistency lately so both should manage to score.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Both teams are defending poorly based on their recent run of four defeats each in five games.

Opens the books licensed in United States
!

This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Hartlepool United the side to beat here at 41%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on AFC Hornchurch, and it backs that with a 1 unit stake. Hartlepool are struggling badly with four straight losses and AFC Hornchurch might nick this despite their own poor form. The price of two point eight zero on the visitors makes them worth a small poke.

Form and momentum

Hartlepool United come in poor, winning 30% of 10 on record. 2 of their 4 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 4 losss in a row.

AFC Hornchurch come in solid, winning 50% of 10 on record. 2 of their 6 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 41% for HAR, 26% for the draw and 32% for HOR once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.80, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • AFC Hornchurch have also lost four of their last five matches which makes backing them a risky proposition.
  • Hartlepool United did manage one win in their last five outings to prove they can occasionally pick up three points.
The bottom line

We back AFC Hornchurch for 1 unit. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsHAR +120
HAR2.20draw3.45HOR2.80

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

HARHartlepool United10 games on record
Won3
Drawn0
Lost7
  • Scored8and let in15
  • At home2 winsfrom4
  • Right now4 losss in a row
Last fiveLLLLW
HORAFC Hornchurch10 games on record
Won5
Drawn0
Lost5
  • Scored11and let in15
  • On the road2 winsfrom6
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWLLL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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