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Betting tips › Categoria Primera A ›  Águilas Doradas v Deportes Tolima

 Categoria Primera ASat 17 Oct 21:00 UTCEstadio Cincuentenario

Águilas Doradas v Deportes Tolima tips

AGDÁguilas DoradasLLDLD
VS
TOLDeportes TolimaDDLLW
The model callDeportes TolimaMatch result2.50★★★★1 star

Deportes Tolima can edge this fixture despite patchy form because Aguilas Doradas are on a terrible winless run. The market prices the visitors at 2.50 to take all three points at Estadio Cincuentenario.

Stake1 unit
That is$10
Returns$25
Profit$15
Why it might land
  • Deportes Tolima grabbed a win in their most recent match to spark some much needed momentum after a difficult sequence of results.
  • Aguilas Doradas head into this fixture after failing to secure a single victory across their last five matches in the league.
  • The bookmakers offer a tempting 2.50 price on Deportes Tolima to win away from home against struggling opponents.
Why it might not
  • Deportes Tolima suffered consecutive defeats just before their latest outing which creates genuine doubts about their consistency.
  • Aguilas Doradas managed to draw two of their last five matches and could easily frustrate the visitors again here.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by book

Given the poor recent form and scoring troubles of both teams, at least one side might fail to find the net.

Total goalsUnder 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Both sides have struggled badly for goals in recent weeks which points toward a low scoring battle.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Deportes Tolima the side to beat here at 36%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Deportes Tolima, and it backs that with a 1 unit stake. Deportes Tolima can edge this fixture despite patchy form because Aguilas Doradas are on a terrible winless run. The market prices the visitors at 2.50 to take all three points at Estadio Cincuentenario.

Form and momentum

Águilas Doradas come in poor, winning 0% of 8 on record. 0 of their 4 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 2 losss in a row.

Deportes Tolima come in poor, winning 29% of 7 on record. 1 of their 4 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 2 draws in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 33% for AGD, 31% for the draw and 36% for TOL once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.50, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Deportes Tolima suffered consecutive defeats just before their latest outing which creates genuine doubts about their consistency.
  • Aguilas Doradas managed to draw two of their last five matches and could easily frustrate the visitors again here.
The bottom line

We back Deportes Tolima for 1 unit. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsTOL +150
AGD2.80draw2.95TOL2.50

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

AGDÁguilas Doradas8 games on record
Won0
Drawn5
Lost3
  • Scored8and let in13
  • At homeno winsfrom4
  • Right now2 losss in a row
Last fiveLLDLD
TOLDeportes Tolima7 games on record
Won2
Drawn3
Lost2
  • Scored7and let in7
  • On the road1 winsfrom4
  • Right now2 draws in a row
Last fiveDDLLW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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