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Betting tips › LigaPro ›  Guayaquil City FC v Libertad (Ecuador)

 LigaProSun 1 Nov 20:00 UTC

Guayaquil City FC v Libertad (Ecuador) tips

GCFGuayaquil City FCDWLLW
VS
LIBLibertad (Ecuador)WLWDL
The model callGuayaquil City FCMatch result1.87★★★★2 stars

Guayaquil City play at home and hold a fair price of 1.87 to take three points. Libertad travel with patchy form that makes a away win hard to back.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$37.4
Profit$17.4
Why it might land
  • Guayaquil City return home after picking up two wins from their last five matches which shows they can put results together.
  • The bookmakers offer a decent price of 1.87 on a home win for Guayaquil City against visitors who struggle for consistency.
  • Libertad arrive with a mixed run of form that includes two defeats and a draw from their last five outings on the road.
Why it might not
  • Guayaquil City suffered two losses in their recent five games which proves they are far from bulletproof at this level.
  • Libertad showed they can win matches recently with victory in their latest fixture so they will not roll over easily here.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by book

Both teams have traded blank scorelines in their recent runs enough to make this a risk.

Total goalsUnder 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Neither side shows a consistent knack for heavy scoring based on their recent matches.

Opens the books licensed in United States
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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Guayaquil City FC the side to beat here at 48%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Guayaquil City FC, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Guayaquil City play at home and hold a fair price of 1.87 to take three points. Libertad travel with patchy form that makes a away win hard to back.

Form and momentum

Guayaquil City FC come in solid, winning 50% of 6 on record. 2 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

Libertad (Ecuador) come in solid, winning 50% of 6 on record. 2 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 48% for GCF, 28% for the draw and 24% for LIB once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Guayaquil City FC, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.87, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Guayaquil City suffered two losses in their recent five games which proves they are far from bulletproof at this level.
  • Libertad showed they can win matches recently with victory in their latest fixture so they will not roll over easily here.
The bottom line

We back Guayaquil City FC for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsGCF -115
GCF1.87draw3.25LIB3.80

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

GCFGuayaquil City FC6 games on record
Won3
Drawn1
Lost2
  • Scored12and let in10
  • At home2 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDWLLW
LIBLibertad (Ecuador)6 games on record
Won3
Drawn1
Lost2
  • Scored7and let in6
  • On the road2 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLWDL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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