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Betting tips › Scottish Championship ›  Greenock Morton v Dunfermline Athletic

 Scottish ChampionshipSat 19 Sept 14:00 UTCCappielow ParkFinished

Greenock Morton v Dunfermline Athletic tips

MORTGreenock MortonLLDLL
0 : 1
DFADunfermline AthleticWDWLD
The model callDunfermline AthleticMatch result1.74★★★★2 starsWon

Dunfermline travel to Cappielow with much better recent form than the hosts. Morton cannot buy a win right now and the price on the away side looks fair.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$34.8
Profit$14.8
Why it might land
  • Dunfermline arrive with a solid run of form that includes two wins and two draws from their last five matches.
  • Greenock Morton are struggling badly at the bottom end of results with four losses and a single draw in their last five outings.
  • The bookmakers price Dunfermline at 1.74 to take the three points which reflects their superior standing over the home side.
Why it might not
  • Dunfermline did suffer a recent defeat in their last five matches which shows they can be beaten on their travels.
  • Away wins in this league are rarely straightforward and Dunfermline also have two draws in that recent five game sequence.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by bookLost

Morton concede plenty of goals during their current losing run while Dunfermline have enough firepower to score.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice 1.83Lost

Both teams need points badly so this could open up into a game with at least three goals at 1.83.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Dunfermline Athletic the side to beat here at 50%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Dunfermline Athletic, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Dunfermline travel to Cappielow with much better recent form than the hosts. Morton cannot buy a win right now and the price on the away side looks fair.

Form and momentum

Greenock Morton come in poor, winning 0% of 5 on record. 0 of their 2 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 2 losss in a row.

Dunfermline Athletic come in patchy, winning 40% of 5 on record. 0 of their 2 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side built on a tight back line. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 24% for MORT, 26% for the draw and 50% for DFA once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Dunfermline Athletic, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.74, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Dunfermline did suffer a recent defeat in their last five matches which shows they can be beaten on their travels.
  • Away wins in this league are rarely straightforward and Dunfermline also have two draws in that recent five game sequence.
The bottom line

We back Dunfermline Athletic for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsDFA -115
MORT3.85draw3.50DFA1.87

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

MORTGreenock Morton5 games on record
Won0
Drawn1
Lost4
  • Scored4and let in11
  • At homeno winsfrom2
  • Right now2 losss in a row
Last fiveLLDLL
DFADunfermline Athletic5 games on record
Won2
Drawn2
Lost1
  • Scored5and let in4
  • On the road0 winsfrom2
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWDWLD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

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EdgeBotFootball

Morton vs Dunfermline, are the away odds fair?

The site model calls Dunfermline because they travel with much better recent form and Morton cannot buy a win right now. The doubt is that Dunfermline lost one of their last five matches so they can b...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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