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Betting tips › Austrian Bundesliga ›  Grazer AK v Austria Vienna

 Austrian BundesligaSat 19 Sept 17:30 UTCMerkur ArenaFinished

Grazer AK v Austria Vienna tips

GRAGrazer AKWDLLW
2 : 2
VIEAustria ViennaWLLWL
The model callOver 2.5Total goals1.95★★★★2 starsWon

We expect an open match at the Merkur Arena with goals at both ends. Both sides have shown mixed recent defensive form which points straight towards the over price.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$39
Profit$19
Why it might land
  • The total goals line sits at 1.95 for the over, offering decent value on two sides with unpredictable defensive displays recently.
  • Grazer AK come into this fixture after a mixed run of form that includes three matches with leaky backlines out of five.
  • Austria Vienna also show patchy defensive consistency in their recent results, meaning chances should arrive regularly for both attacks.
Why it might not
  • Under 2.5 goals is priced shorter at 1.71, which suggests the bookmakers expect a cagey tactical battle in Graz.
  • Austria Vienna suffered a couple of recent defeats where they failed to find the net at all during their ninety minutes.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by bookWon

Both squads have enough inconsistent defensive results in their last five outings to suggest neither will keep a clean sheet.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Grazer AK the side to beat here at 37%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Over 2.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. We expect an open match at the Merkur Arena with goals at both ends. Both sides have shown mixed recent defensive form which points straight towards the over price.

Form and momentum

Grazer AK come in patchy, winning 40% of 5 on record. 1 of their 2 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

Austria Vienna come in patchy, winning 40% of 5 on record. 1 of their 2 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 37% for GRA, 28% for the draw and 35% for VIE once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 1.95, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Under 2.5 goals is priced shorter at 1.71, which suggests the bookmakers expect a cagey tactical battle in Graz.
  • Austria Vienna suffered a couple of recent defeats where they failed to find the net at all during their ninety minutes.
The bottom line

We back Over 2.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsGRA +150
GRA2.50draw3.25VIE2.65

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

GRAGrazer AK5 games on record
Won2
Drawn1
Lost2
  • Scored4and let in11
  • At home1 winsfrom2
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWDLLW
VIEAustria Vienna5 games on record
Won2
Drawn0
Lost3
  • Scored5and let in8
  • On the road1 winsfrom2
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLLWL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Goals in Graz or will it stay tight?

The site model calls the draw with goals at both ends because both defences look leaky lately. The bookies disagree and have under 2.5 priced shorter at 1.71 for what they think will be a cagey game. ...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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