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Betting tips › LaLiga 2 ›  Granada v Real Valladolid

 LaLiga 2Sun 25 Oct 18:00 UTCNuevo Estadio de Los Cármenes

Granada v Real Valladolid tips

GRAGranadaLLDLW
VS
VLLReal ValladolidWDLWD
The model callGranadaMatch result2.20★★★★1 star

Granada play at home against Real Valladolid and can grab three points despite patchy form. The price of 2.20 gives us a decent chance to back the hosts.

Stake1 unit
That is$10
Returns$22
Profit$12
Why it might land
  • Granada return to their home ground after a difficult run where they suffered losses and managed only one recent win and one draw.
  • Real Valladolid arrive with mixed away form containing two wins and two draws alongside a recent defeat in their last five outings.
  • The market prices Granada at 2.20 to win which offers a fair price on home advantage at the Nuevo Estadio de Los Carmen es.
Why it might not
  • Granada sit on a poor recent sequence with four defeats from their last five matches which creates real doubt over their win probability.
  • Real Valladolid have avoided defeat in three of their last five fixtures by taking two wins and two draws to show stubborn resilience.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both sides show erratic defensive form across their recent results which could lead to goals at both ends.

Total goalsUnder 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

We have no goal line prices or strong scoring trends to suggest a high scoring match.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Granada the side to beat here at 42%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Granada, and it backs that with a 1 unit stake. Granada play at home against Real Valladolid and can grab three points despite patchy form. The price of 2.20 gives us a decent chance to back the hosts.

Form and momentum

Granada come in poor, winning 29% of 7 on record. 1 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 2 losss in a row.

Real Valladolid come in poor, winning 29% of 7 on record. 0 of their 4 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 42% for GRA, 29% for the draw and 29% for VLL once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Granada, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 2.20, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Granada sit on a poor recent sequence with four defeats from their last five matches which creates real doubt over their win probability.
  • Real Valladolid have avoided defeat in three of their last five fixtures by taking two wins and two draws to show stubborn resilience.
The bottom line

We back Granada for 1 unit. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsGRA +120
GRA2.20draw3.20VLL3.25

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

GRAGranada7 games on record
Won2
Drawn2
Lost3
  • Scored10and let in11
  • At home1 winsfrom3
  • Right now2 losss in a row
Last fiveLLDLW
VLLReal Valladolid7 games on record
Won2
Drawn2
Lost3
  • Scored6and let in9
  • On the road0 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWDLWD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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