Betting tips › Brasileirao › Grêmio v Cruzeiro
BrasileiraoSat 17 Oct 18:00 UTCArena do GrêmioGrêmio v Cruzeiro tips
GrêmioDLLLW
CruzeiroWLWLWCruzeiro arrive in better shape than their hosts and offer good value at twenty three to ten. Grêmio are struggling badly for results right now.
- Cruzeiro enter this match having won three of their last five fixtures in a solid run of form.
- Grêmio come into this fixture on the back of three straight defeats which highlights deep problems.
- The market prices Cruzeiro as favorites at two point three five which gives us a fair price for the away win.
- Grêmio played out a recent draw which shows they can sometimes frustrate an opponent on home turf.
- Cruzeiro suffered a recent loss in their last five matches proving they are not entirely immune to slipping up.
Both sides have shown enough defensive vulnerability in their recent runs to suggest goals at both ends.
We have no prices for the goal lines so it is hard to trust an over bet here.
This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work
Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.
Edge Analysis
The market makes Cruzeiro the side to beat here at 40%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Cruzeiro, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Cruzeiro arrive in better shape than their hosts and offer good value at twenty three to ten. Grêmio are struggling badly for results right now.
Grêmio come in poor, winning 25% of 8 on record. 2 of their 4 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.
Cruzeiro come in strong, winning 71% of 7 on record. 2 of their 4 away games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.
The prices turn into 33% for GRE, 27% for the draw and 40% for CRU once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.35, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.
- Grêmio played out a recent draw which shows they can sometimes frustrate an opponent on home turf.
- Cruzeiro suffered a recent loss in their last five matches proving they are not entirely immune to slipping up.
We back Cruzeiro for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.
Every price we track
Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.
Recent Performance
Grêmio8 games on record- Scored8and let in12
- At home2 winsfrom4
- Right now1 draw in a row
Cruzeiro7 games on record- Scored15and let in10
- On the road2 winsfrom4
- Right now1 win in a row
Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.