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Betting tips › Brazil Serie B ›  Goiás v Náutico

 Brazil Serie BMon 19 Oct 22:30 UTCEstádio da Serrinha

Goiás v Náutico tips

GOIGoiásLWWLL
VS
NAUNáuticoWLDLW
The model callGoiásMatch result1.74★★★★2 stars

Goiais should edge this match at home because their recent results show they can string wins together. Nautico has been far too inconsistent on the road to trust.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$34.8
Profit$14.8
Why it might land
  • Goiais are priced at 1.74 to win this match at Estádio da Serrinha which suggests the bookmakers expect them to control the game.
  • The hosts picked up two wins in their last five matches including a solid victory that shows they can find the necessary goals.
  • Nautico comes into this fixture with a very patchy recent run of form featuring three defeats in their last five outings.
Why it might not
  • Goiais have also lost three of their last five matches which proves they are vulnerable and far from entirely reliable.
  • Nautico managed a win in their most recent outing and might carry some stubborn momentum into this tricky away fixture.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both teams keep leaking goals based on their mixed recent results which makes clean sheets unlikely.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

We have no price for the total goals line so it is impossible to judge any real value here.

Opens the books licensed in United States
!

This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Goiás the side to beat here at 53%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Goiás, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Goiais should edge this match at home because their recent results show they can string wins together. Nautico has been far too inconsistent on the road to trust.

Form and momentum

Goiás come in patchy, winning 38% of 8 on record. 2 of their 5 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

Náutico come in solid, winning 50% of 8 on record. 0 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 53% for GOI, 26% for the draw and 21% for NAU once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Goiás, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.74, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Goiais have also lost three of their last five matches which proves they are vulnerable and far from entirely reliable.
  • Nautico managed a win in their most recent outing and might carry some stubborn momentum into this tricky away fixture.
The bottom line

We back Goiás for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsGOI -135
GOI1.74draw3.60NAU4.50

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

GOIGoiás8 games on record
Won3
Drawn1
Lost4
  • Scored8and let in9
  • At home2 winsfrom5
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWWLL
NAUNáutico8 games on record
Won4
Drawn2
Lost2
  • Scored12and let in11
  • On the road0 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLDLW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Goiás vs Náutico: Back the hosts or leave it?

The site model likes Goiás at 1.74 because they string home wins together and Náutico travel poorly. Still, Goiás lost three of their last five so they are clearly vulnerable here. Are you lot trustin...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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