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Betting tips › Conference League ›  Getafe v FC Lugano

 Conference LeagueThu 22 Oct 16:45 UTCEstadio Coliseum

Getafe v FC Lugano tips

GETGetafeWLDDL
VS
LUGFC Lugano
The model callGetafeMatch result1.80★★★★1 star

Getafe play at home against FC Lugano on Thursday afternoon at Estadio Coliseum in the Conference League. The market makes the Spanish side favourites at one point eight zero, but their recent form with two draws and two losses from five matches leaves room for doubt.

Stake1 unit
That is$10
Returns$18
Profit$8
Why it might land
  • Getafe play this fixture at their home ground of Estadio Coliseum where they hold the status of clear match favourites at a price of one point eight zero.
  • The visitors FC Lugano arrive for this Conference League fixture with no results on record yet for us to judge their current competitive level.
  • Getafe did manage to secure a win in their recent five matches which gives them at least one positive result to build upon here.
Why it might not
  • Getafe enter this match with patchy recent form that includes two losses and two draws from their last five outings overall.
  • FC Lugano remain an unknown quantity in this competition since there are no previous results on record for them in our data.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Getafe have leaked goals across a mixed run of results while Lugano bring complete mystery to the contest.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

We have no pricing for the total goals line of two point five so any lean here is purely speculative.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Getafe the side to beat here at 53%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Getafe, and it backs that with a 1 unit stake. Getafe play at home against FC Lugano on Thursday afternoon at Estadio Coliseum in the Conference League. The market makes the Spanish side favourites at one point eight zero, but their recent form with two draws and two losses from five matches leaves room for doubt.

Form and momentum

Getafe come in patchy, winning 35% of 40 on record. 9 of their 22 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

FC Lugano land here with no settled games on our record yet, so treat their form as an open question.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 53% for GET, 26% for the draw and 21% for LUG once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Getafe, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.80, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Getafe enter this match with patchy recent form that includes two losses and two draws from their last five outings overall.
  • FC Lugano remain an unknown quantity in this competition since there are no previous results on record for them in our data.
The bottom line

We back Getafe for 1 unit. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsGET -125
GET1.80draw3.60LUG4.60

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

GETGetafe40 games on record
Won14
Drawn8
Lost18
  • Scored30and let in38
  • At home9 winsfrom22
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLDDL
LUGFC Lugano0 games on record
Won0
Drawn0
Lost0
  • Scored0and let in0
  • On the roadno winsfrom0

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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