Betting tips › Serie A › Genoa v Fiorentina
Serie ASat 10 Oct 13:00 UTCStadio Luigi Ferraris
GenoaLWDLL
FiorentinaDWWLLFiorentina arrive at Marassi as favourites despite back to back defeats in their latest outings. Genoa look vulnerable at home after picking up three losses from their last five matches.
Both teams have shown defensive frailties in their recent runs of form which could lead to goals at both ends.
Backing under 2.5 goals at 1.74 makes sense given both sides are trying to bounce back from recent defeats.
This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work
Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.
The market makes Fiorentina the side to beat here at 41%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Fiorentina, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Fiorentina arrive at Marassi as favourites despite back to back defeats in their latest outings. Genoa look vulnerable at home after picking up three losses from their last five matches.
Genoa come in poor, winning 28% of 40 on record. 7 of their 21 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.
Fiorentina come in poor, winning 28% of 40 on record. 6 of their 19 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.
The prices turn into 30% for GEN, 29% for the draw and 41% for FIO once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Fiorentina, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 2.20, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.
These two have been level across 2 past meetings, 0 wins each and 2 drawn. Nothing in the history separates them.
We back Fiorentina for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.
Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.
Genoa40 games on recordFiorentina40 games on recordCounted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.
Old meetings are worth less than they look. Squads change, managers change, and a result from two seasons ago tells you almost nothing about this one.
The site model calls Fiorentina at 2.20 because Genoa lost three of their last five at home. Fiorentina arrive here on the back of two defeats though so their rhythm might be off. What are you all on ...