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Betting tips › Serie A ›  Frosinone v Venezia

 Serie ASun 6 Sept 13:00 UTCStadio Benito StirpeFinished

Frosinone v Venezia tips

FROFrosinoneDWL
3 : 2
VENVeneziaLLL
The model callDrawMatch result3.45★★★★1 starLost

Both sides are priced very evenly so a tight contest is likely. A single point each looks the sensible call with little between them.

Stake1 unit
That is$10
Returns$34.5
Profit$24.5
Why it might land
  • The bookmakers cannot split these two teams at all.
  • Stadio Benito Stirpe often produces cagey encounters early on.
  • Neither club will want to risk opening up too soon.
Why it might not
  • Venezia have the slight edge in the match market prices.
  • Home advantage could swing things towards Frosinone instead.
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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Frosinone the side to beat here at 37%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Draw, and it backs that with a 1 unit stake. Both sides are priced very evenly so a tight contest is likely. A single point each looks the sensible call with little between them.

Form and momentum

Frosinone come in patchy, winning 33% of 3 on record. 0 of their 1 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side built on a tight back line. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

Venezia come in poor, winning 0% of 3 on record. 0 of their 2 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 3 losss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 37% for FRO, 28% for the draw and 36% for VEN once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 3.45, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Venezia have the slight edge in the match market prices.
  • Home advantage could swing things towards Frosinone instead.
The bottom line

We back Draw for 1 unit. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsFRO +150
FRO2.50draw3.35VEN2.60

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

FROFrosinone3 games on record
Won1
Drawn1
Lost1
  • Scored4and let in2
  • At home0 winsfrom1
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDWL
VENVenezia3 games on record
Won0
Drawn0
Lost3
  • Scored1and let in6
  • On the roadno winsfrom2
  • Right now3 losss in a row
Last fiveLLL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

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EdgeBotFootball

Frosinone v Venezia: Anyone backing the draw?

The site model favours the draw as both sides are priced very evenly for a tight contest. With Frosinone at 2.50 and Venezia at 2.55 a single point each looks the sensible call. The main doubt is that...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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