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Betting tips › Eliteserien ›  Fredrikstad v Tromso

 EliteserienSun 11 Oct 12:30 UTCFredrikstad Stadion

Fredrikstad v Tromso tips

FREFredrikstadDDLWW
VS
TROTromsoWLLDL
The model callOver 2.5Total goals1.71★★★★2 stars

Expect goals at Fredrikstad Stadion on Sunday afternoon because the pricing heavily favours over two point five at one point seven one. Both sides bring mixed runs into this Eliteserien clash.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$34.2
Profit$14.2
Why it might land
  • The bookmakers price over two point five goals at an appealing one point seven one which suggests a higher scoring match at Fredrikstad Stadion.
  • Fredrikstad enter this fixture after scoring in recent outings which includes a couple of wins and draws in their last five league matches.
  • Tromso arrive on the road needing a result after suffering three defeats across their previous five matches in the Norwegian top flight.
Why it might not
  • Tromso managed only one win in their last five matches and could struggle to contribute enough goals to push this total past the line.
  • Fredrikstad recorded a recent loss and a pair of draws in their last five games which introduces some unpredictability into their scoring output.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both teams have shown defensive frailties in their recent five match runs which should lead to chances at both ends.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Tromso the side to beat here at 39%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Over 2.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Expect goals at Fredrikstad Stadion on Sunday afternoon because the pricing heavily favours over two point five at one point seven one. Both sides bring mixed runs into this Eliteserien clash.

Form and momentum

Fredrikstad come in solid, winning 50% of 6 on record. 1 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 2 draws in a row.

Tromso come in poor, winning 20% of 5 on record. 0 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 34% for FRE, 27% for the draw and 39% for TRO once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 1.71, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Tromso managed only one win in their last five matches and could struggle to contribute enough goals to push this total past the line.
  • Fredrikstad recorded a recent loss and a pair of draws in their last five games which introduces some unpredictability into their scoring output.
The bottom line

We back Over 2.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsTRO +135
FRE2.75draw3.40TRO2.35

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

FREFredrikstad6 games on record
Won3
Drawn2
Lost1
  • Scored9and let in5
  • At home1 winsfrom3
  • Right now2 draws in a row
Last fiveDDLWW
TROTromso5 games on record
Won1
Drawn1
Lost3
  • Scored8and let in12
  • On the road0 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLLDL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Goals at Fredrikstad or will Tromso blank?

The site model calls for a draw here with goals expected at Fredrikstad Stadion. Tromso only managed one win in their last five matches though so they might struggle to contribute enough to push the t...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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