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Betting tips › Eliteserien ›  Fredrikstad v Sarpsborg FK

 EliteserienSun 13 Sept 17:15 UTCFredrikstad StadionFinished

Fredrikstad v Sarpsborg FK tips

FREFredrikstadLWWW
1 : 1
SARSarpsborg FKDDLL
The model callFredrikstadMatch result2.35★★★★2 starsLost

Fredrikstad look the stronger side given their three recent wins on the bounce. Sarpsborg seem stuck in a rut after failing to win their last games.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$47
Profit$27
Why it might land
  • Fredrikstad arrive with a strong winning streak while Sarpsborg struggle for any form
  • Home advantage at the stadium should push the players to secure the points
  • The current price of two point three five offers decent value for backers
Why it might not
  • Sarpsborg might turn their recent form around with a point on the road
  • Derby matches often produce unpredictable results regardless of the form shown by teams
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by bookWon

The away side needs to score to break their slump despite the pressure.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice 1.63Lost

Both sides have shown defensive leaks recently so goals should arrive quite easily.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Sarpsborg FK the side to beat here at 38%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Fredrikstad, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Fredrikstad look the stronger side given their three recent wins on the bounce. Sarpsborg seem stuck in a rut after failing to win their last games.

Form and momentum

Fredrikstad come in strong, winning 75% of 4 on record. 1 of their 2 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

Sarpsborg FK come in poor, winning 0% of 4 on record. 0 of their 2 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 2 draws in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 36% for FRE, 27% for the draw and 38% for SAR once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.35, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Sarpsborg might turn their recent form around with a point on the road
  • Derby matches often produce unpredictable results regardless of the form shown by teams
The bottom line

We back Fredrikstad for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsSAR +150
FRE2.65draw3.55SAR2.50

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

FREFredrikstad4 games on record
Won3
Drawn0
Lost1
  • Scored7and let in3
  • At home1 winsfrom2
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWWW
SARSarpsborg FK4 games on record
Won0
Drawn2
Lost2
  • Scored4and let in6
  • On the roadno winsfrom2
  • Right now2 draws in a row
Last fiveDDLL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Fredrikstad v Sarpsborg FK. Who are you backing?

The site model calls Fredrikstad because they have three wins on the bounce while Sarpsborg are stuck in a rut. On the other hand, Sarpsborg might turn their form around and grab a point on the road. ...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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