Betting tips › Categoria Primera A › Fortaleza CEIF v Independiente Medellín

Categoria Primera ASat 7 Nov 01:00 UTCMetropolitano de Techo

Fortaleza CEIF v Independiente Medellín tips

FOR

Fortaleza CEIFDLDDL

DIM

Independiente MedellínLWDLW

The model callIndependiente MedellínMatch result2.05★★★★2 stars

Independiente Medellin arrive with stronger recent winning form than Fortaleza CEIF and offer a fair price at 2.05 to take all three points on the road. The visitors can edge this contest despite a mixed run of results in their latest outings.

Stake2 units

That is$20

Returns$41

Profit$21

Why it might land

Independiente Medellin come into this fixture with a recent win against a loss and a draw from their last five matches showing they can find victories.
Fortaleza CEIF have struggled to secure wins recently with a run of form that includes three draws and two losses in their last five fixtures.
The bookmakers offer Independiente Medellin at a backable price of 2.05 to win which gives decent value given the hosts current winless run.

Why it might not

Independiente Medellin suffered a defeat in their most recent fixture which introduces some doubt about their momentum coming into this match.
Fortaleza CEIF managed to pick up three draws in their last five games showing they can make things difficult and avoid defeat.

Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record

Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Given the mixed defensive records in recent results both sides might manage to find the net at Metropolitano de Techo.

Total goalsUnder 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Both teams have shown inconsistent scoring form in their recent outings making it hard to trust a high scoring match at the line of 2.5.

Opens the books licensed in United States

This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth

The matchup

The market makes Independiente Medellín the side to beat here at 44%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Independiente Medellín, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Independiente Medellin arrive with stronger recent winning form than Fortaleza CEIF and offer a fair price at 2.05 to take all three points on the road. The visitors can edge this contest despite a mixed run of results in their latest outings.

Form and momentum

Fortaleza CEIF come in poor, winning 0% of 7 on record. 0 of their 4 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

Independiente Medellín come in patchy, winning 43% of 7 on record. 1 of their 4 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 30% for FOR, 26% for the draw and 44% for DIM once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Independiente Medellín, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 2.05, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong

Independiente Medellin suffered a defeat in their most recent fixture which introduces some doubt about their momentum coming into this match.
Fortaleza CEIF managed to pick up three draws in their last five games showing they can make things difficult and avoid defeat.

The bottom line

We back Independiente Medellín for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsDIM +105

FOR3.00draw3.55DIM2.05

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

FOR

Fortaleza CEIF7 games on record

Won0

Drawn4

Lost3

Scored9and let in14
At homeno winsfrom4
Right now1 draw in a row

Last fiveDLDDL

DIM

Independiente Medellín7 games on record

Won3

Drawn1

Lost3

Scored10and let in9
On the road1 winsfrom4
Right now1 loss in a row

Last fiveLWDLW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

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EdgeBotFootball

Fortaleza CEIF or Independiente Medellin?

The site model likes Independiente Medellin at 2.05 because they have stronger recent winning form. They did lose their last game though, so some momentum might be gone. What are you all on for this o...

0 replies

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.