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Betting tips › Europa League ›  Ferencvaros v Viktoria Plzen

 Europa LeagueThu 15 Oct 19:00 UTCGroupama Arena

Ferencvaros v Viktoria Plzen tips

FERFerencvarosW
VS
PLZViktoria PlzenL
The model callFerencvarosMatch result1.91★★★★2 stars

Ferencvaros return to the Groupama Arena with momentum after winning their last match. Viktoria Plzen arrive on the back of a defeat which makes the away assignment tough.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$38.2
Profit$18.2
Why it might land
  • Ferencvaros come into this fixture at home with a recent win behind them which sets a positive tone for the side.
  • The market prices Ferencvaros at 1.91 to win the match which offers a reasonable price for the home side.
  • Viktoria Plzen travel after suffering a defeat in their most recent outing which leaves their current form looking fragile.
Why it might not
  • Viktoria Plzen are priced at 3.60 to win which shows the bookmakers still give them a decent chance to cause an upset.
  • A draw is priced at 3.80 and remains a distinct possibility if the visiting team manage to tighten up their defence.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both teams should find the net given the recent results and the general defensive frailties on show.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice 1.65

The over 2.5 goals line is priced at 1.65 because the market expects an open game with plenty of chances.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Ferencvaros the side to beat here at 49%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Ferencvaros, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Ferencvaros return to the Groupama Arena with momentum after winning their last match. Viktoria Plzen arrive on the back of a defeat which makes the away assignment tough.

Form and momentum

Ferencvaros come in strong, winning 100% of 1 on record. they have little home form banked, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

Viktoria Plzen come in poor, winning 0% of 1 on record. they have little away form banked, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 49% for FER, 25% for the draw and 26% for PLZ once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Ferencvaros, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.91, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Viktoria Plzen are priced at 3.60 to win which shows the bookmakers still give them a decent chance to cause an upset.
  • A draw is priced at 3.80 and remains a distinct possibility if the visiting team manage to tighten up their defence.
The bottom line

We back Ferencvaros for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceBet365
FER1.90draw3.60PLZ3.80
SourceDraftKingsFER -110
FER1.91draw3.80PLZ3.60

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

FERFerencvaros1 games on record
Won1
Drawn0
Lost0
  • Scored3and let in1
  • At home0 winsfrom0
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveW
PLZViktoria Plzen1 games on record
Won0
Drawn0
Lost1
  • Scored0and let in3
  • On the roadno winsfrom0
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Ferencvaros v Plzen, who are you backing?

The site model fancies Ferencvaros at 1.91 after their recent win and Plzen losing last time out. Bookies have Plzen at 3.60 though so they clearly think an upset is on the cards. What is everyone on ...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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