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Betting tips › Champions League ›  Fenerbahce v AS Roma

 Champions LeagueThu 10 Sept 16:45 UTCŞükrü Saracoğlu StadiumFinished

Fenerbahce v AS Roma tips

FENFenerbahceLWWL
1 : 1
ROMAAS RomaWWWWW
The model callAS RomaMatch result2.10★★★★2 starsLost

AS Roma arrive in brilliant form after winning five consecutive matches. Fenerbahce look far less reliable having lost two of their last four outings.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$42
Profit$22
Why it might land
  • AS Roma enter this match on a superb run of five straight wins which makes their price of 2.10 look extremely generous.
  • Fenerbahce have suffered two defeats in their last four games including a loss in their most recent fixture before this match.
  • The visitors bring far better momentum into this clash than a host side that has managed only two wins from four.
Why it might not
  • Fenerbahce did win two consecutive matches before their latest setback which shows they can still put together strong home performances.
  • The odds of 3.50 on Fenerbahce to win and 3.55 on the draw suggest bookmakers see a genuinely tight contest.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by bookWon

Fenerbahce will push hard at home despite recent losses while Roma are scoring freely during their five match winning run.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice 1.71Lost

Over 2.5 goals is priced short at 1.71 because both teams have been involved in plenty of decisive results lately.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes AS Roma the side to beat here at 51%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on AS Roma, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. AS Roma arrive in brilliant form after winning five consecutive matches. Fenerbahce look far less reliable having lost two of their last four outings.

Form and momentum

Fenerbahce come in solid, winning 50% of 4 on record. 1 of their 2 home games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

AS Roma come in strong, winning 63% of 40 on record. 11 of their 20 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 8 wins in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 24% for FEN, 26% for the draw and 51% for ROMA once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward AS Roma, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 2.10, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Fenerbahce did win two consecutive matches before their latest setback which shows they can still put together strong home performances.
  • The odds of 3.50 on Fenerbahce to win and 3.55 on the draw suggest bookmakers see a genuinely tight contest.
The bottom line

We back AS Roma for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceBet365
FEN3.40draw3.60ROMA2.05
SourceDraftKingsROMA -115
FEN4.00draw3.70ROMA1.87

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

FENFenerbahce4 games on record
Won2
Drawn0
Lost2
  • Scored8and let in6
  • At home1 winsfrom2
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWWL
ROMAAS Roma40 games on record
Won25
Drawn4
Lost11
  • Scored68and let in32
  • On the road11 winsfrom20
  • Right now8 wins in a row
Last fiveWWWWW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Fenerbahce v Roma: Is the away win too short?

The site model likes Roma at 2.30 because they have won five games in a row. Fenerbahce are at home but their form is unknown. Playing in Istanbul is always a massive challenge for any visitor. What a...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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