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Betting tips › J1 League ›  FC Tokyo v Nagoya Grampus

 J1 LeagueSat 19 Sept 10:00 UTCJapan National StadiumFinished

FC Tokyo v Nagoya Grampus tips

TOKFC TokyoWWDWW
1 : 0
NAGNagoya GrampusLLLWW
The model callFC TokyoMatch result1.77★★★★2 starsWon

Tokyo enter this match at the National Stadium carrying a strong run of four wins from their last five outings. Nagoya arrive struggling after three straight defeats before finding two recent victories.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$35.4
Profit$15.4
Why it might land
  • Tokyo look very solid with four wins and one draw from their last five matches in the league.
  • The bookmakers offer a fair price of 1.77 for the home win at the Japan National Stadium.
  • Nagoya show poor momentum on the road after losing three consecutive matches prior to their two recent wins.
Why it might not
  • Nagoya bounced back with two straight victories in their most recent outings to show signs of recovery.
  • Tokyo managed only a single draw in that recent five match sequence instead of taking all three points.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by bookLost

Both sides have shown mixed defensive form recently which could lead to goals at both ends.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice 1.57Lost

The price of 1.57 for over 2.5 goals suggests a high scoring match based on recent fixtures.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes FC Tokyo the side to beat here at 52%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on FC Tokyo, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Tokyo enter this match at the National Stadium carrying a strong run of four wins from their last five outings. Nagoya arrive struggling after three straight defeats before finding two recent victories.

Form and momentum

FC Tokyo come in solid, winning 57% of 7 on record. 2 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 2 wins in a row.

Nagoya Grampus come in poor, winning 29% of 7 on record. 0 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 3 losss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 52% for TOK, 24% for the draw and 24% for NAG once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward FC Tokyo, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.77, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Nagoya bounced back with two straight victories in their most recent outings to show signs of recovery.
  • Tokyo managed only a single draw in that recent five match sequence instead of taking all three points.
The bottom line

We back FC Tokyo for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsTOK -130
TOK1.77draw3.90NAG3.90

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

TOKFC Tokyo7 games on record
Won4
Drawn2
Lost1
  • Scored13and let in8
  • At home2 winsfrom3
  • Right now2 wins in a row
Last fiveWWDWW
NAGNagoya Grampus7 games on record
Won2
Drawn0
Lost5
  • Scored7and let in13
  • On the road0 winsfrom3
  • Right now3 losss in a row
Last fiveLLLWW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

FC Tokyo or Nagoya at the National Stadium?

The site model goes for FC Tokyo here as they have won four of their last five matches. Nagoya come in after three losses before grabbing two recent wins. Those two victories do show some recovery for...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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