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Betting tips › Eredivisie ›  FC Groningen v Ajax Amsterdam

 EredivisieSun 18 Oct 14:45 UTCEuroborg

FC Groningen v Ajax Amsterdam tips

GROFC GroningenWDDLL
VS
AJAAjax AmsterdamDWWLW
The model callAjax AmsterdamMatch result1.87★★★★2 stars

Ajax travel to Groningen with stronger recent form despite a mixed run. The visitors look solid enough to take all three points at a reasonable price.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$37.4
Profit$17.4
Why it might land
  • Ajax enter this fixture after securing three wins from their last five matches in the league.
  • The away side are priced at 1.87 to win which offers a decent return for a team of their standing.
  • Groningen have struggled for consistency lately having suffered two defeats in their previous five outings.
Why it might not
  • Ajax did suffer a defeat recently and also recorded a draw which shows they can be vulnerable on the road.
  • Groningen managed a win and two draws in their last five games so they will not roll over easily at home.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both teams have enough attacking intent to find the net during the ninety minutes.

Total goalsUnder 3.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Neither side has shown a consistent tendency to blow opponents away in recent weeks.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Ajax Amsterdam the side to beat here at 50%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Ajax Amsterdam, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Ajax travel to Groningen with stronger recent form despite a mixed run. The visitors look solid enough to take all three points at a reasonable price.

Form and momentum

FC Groningen come in patchy, winning 40% of 40 on record. 8 of their 20 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

Ajax Amsterdam come in patchy, winning 43% of 40 on record. 10 of their 19 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 27% for GRO, 23% for the draw and 50% for AJA once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Ajax Amsterdam, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.87, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

When these two meet

Across 3 past meetings AJA have had the better of it, 2 wins to 1, with 0 drawn. Squads change, so read it as colour rather than proof.

Where it could go wrong
  • Ajax did suffer a defeat recently and also recorded a draw which shows they can be vulnerable on the road.
  • Groningen managed a win and two draws in their last five games so they will not roll over easily at home.
The bottom line

We back Ajax Amsterdam for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsAJA -115
GRO3.40draw4.10AJA1.87

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

GROFC Groningen40 games on record
Won16
Drawn8
Lost16
  • Scored61and let in55
  • At home8 winsfrom20
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWDDLL
AJAAjax Amsterdam40 games on record
Won17
Drawn13
Lost10
  • Scored77and let in54
  • On the road10 winsfrom19
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDWWLW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

Head to head

When these two have met

1GRO wins
0drawn
2AJA wins
  • Ajax Amsterdam 2 : 0 FC Groningen21 May 2026 · Eredivisie
  • FC Groningen 3 : 1 Ajax Amsterdam7 Mar 2026 · Eredivisie
  • Ajax Amsterdam 2 : 0 FC Groningen2 Dec 2025 · Eredivisie

Old meetings are worth less than they look. Squads change, managers change, and a result from two seasons ago tells you almost nothing about this one.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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