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Betting tips › Eerste Divisie ›  FC Emmen v Almere City

 Eerste DivisieSat 17 Oct 14:30 UTCDe Oude Meerdijk

FC Emmen v Almere City tips

EMMFC EmmenWLLWL
VS
ALMAlmere CityLWWLW
The model callFC EmmenMatch result2.20★★★★1 star

Emmen play at home and are priced at 2.20 to win this match. Their recent form is mixed with three losses and two wins.

Stake1 unit
That is$10
Returns$22
Profit$12
Why it might land
  • FC Emmen are playing this fixture at home on their own ground and the market price for them to win is 2.20.
  • The home side managed to secure two wins in their last five recent matches which gives them some winning momentum.
  • Almere City suffered two defeats in their last five outings showing they are vulnerable on the road.
Why it might not
  • FC Emmen also lost three of their last five matches which makes backing them at 2.20 a risky proposition.
  • Almere City picked up three wins in their last five games including a victory that shows they can win.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both teams have traded wins and losses recently so goals could go either way.

Total goalsUnder 3.5 goalsPrice varies by book

The total goals line is set at 3.5 but there is no pricing data available for this market.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes FC Emmen the side to beat here at 42%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on FC Emmen, and it backs that with a 1 unit stake. Emmen play at home and are priced at 2.20 to win this match. Their recent form is mixed with three losses and two wins.

Form and momentum

FC Emmen come in solid, winning 57% of 7 on record. 3 of their 4 home games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

Almere City come in strong, winning 63% of 8 on record. 3 of their 5 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 42% for EMM, 26% for the draw and 32% for ALM once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.20, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • FC Emmen also lost three of their last five matches which makes backing them at 2.20 a risky proposition.
  • Almere City picked up three wins in their last five games including a victory that shows they can win.
The bottom line

We back FC Emmen for 1 unit. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsEMM +120
EMM2.20draw3.60ALM2.90

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

EMMFC Emmen7 games on record
Won4
Drawn0
Lost3
  • Scored17and let in17
  • At home3 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLLWL
ALMAlmere City8 games on record
Won5
Drawn1
Lost2
  • Scored18and let in7
  • On the road3 winsfrom5
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWWLW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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