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Betting tips › Eerste Divisie ›  FC Eindhoven v De Graafschap

 Eerste DivisieSat 3 Oct 18:00 UTCJan Louwers Stadion

FC Eindhoven v De Graafschap tips

EINFC EindhovenLWWDL
VS
GRADe GraafschapWLWLL
The model callDe GraafschapMatch result2.20★★★★2 stars

De Graafschap look the slightly better side despite their recent patchy form. The price of 2.20 for the visitors feels fair given the inconsistencies shown by Eindhoven lately.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$44
Profit$24
Why it might land
  • De Graafschap come into this match off the back of a victory in their most recent fixture which provides them with a bit of momentum.
  • The bookmakers price of 2.20 for the away win suggests that De Graafschap are the stronger team entering this game at the Jan Louwers Stadion.
  • FC Eindhoven have struggled for consistency in their last five outings having recorded two losses and one draw during that specific recent run of results.
Why it might not
  • De Graafschap have been unpredictable lately because they have alternated between wins and losses in each of their last five competitive league matches this season.
  • FC Eindhoven have managed to pick up two wins in their last five matches which proves they are capable of getting a result at home.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both teams have shown defensive lapses recently which suggests they might concede at least once during the ninety minutes.

Total goalsUnder 3.5 goalsPrice 1.74

Both sides have been inconsistent in front of goal so expecting four or more goals in this match seems like a big ask.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes De Graafschap the side to beat here at 42%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on De Graafschap, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. De Graafschap look the slightly better side despite their recent patchy form. The price of 2.20 for the visitors feels fair given the inconsistencies shown by Eindhoven lately.

Form and momentum

FC Eindhoven come in patchy, winning 38% of 8 on record. 2 of their 4 home games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

De Graafschap come in poor, winning 25% of 8 on record. 1 of their 4 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 33% for EIN, 25% for the draw and 42% for GRA once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.20, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • De Graafschap have been unpredictable lately because they have alternated between wins and losses in each of their last five competitive league matches this season.
  • FC Eindhoven have managed to pick up two wins in their last five matches which proves they are capable of getting a result at home.
The bottom line

We back De Graafschap for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsGRA +120
EIN2.80draw3.75GRA2.20

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

EINFC Eindhoven8 games on record
Won3
Drawn1
Lost4
  • Scored13and let in17
  • At home2 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWWDL
GRADe Graafschap8 games on record
Won2
Drawn1
Lost5
  • Scored9and let in20
  • On the road1 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLWLL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Eindhoven v De Graafschap tips

The site model fancies De Graafschap at 2.20 because Eindhoven are too inconsistent right now. The catch is that De Graafschap keep alternating wins and losses every week. Are you backing the visitors...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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