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Betting tips › Eerste Divisie ›  FC Den Bosch v FC Dordrecht

 Eerste DivisieSat 3 Oct 18:00 UTCStadion De Vliert

FC Den Bosch v FC Dordrecht tips

DBOFC Den BoschLWLLL
VS
DORFC DordrechtWLLLL
The model callFC Den BoschMatch result1.83★★★★2 stars

Den Bosch are clearly the better value at home despite their poor recent run. Dordrecht are struggling just as badly and should give them enough chances to take the points.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$36.6
Profit$16.6
Why it might land
  • The price of 1.83 for a home win suggests the bookmakers see Den Bosch as the clear favorites to take the points at Stadion De Vliert.
  • FC Den Bosch won one of their last five matches and will be looking to improve that form against a side that also struggles for consistency.
  • FC Dordrecht have lost four of their last five matches which indicates they are currently in a very poor run of results in the division.
Why it might not
  • Den Bosch have lost four out of their last five matches which makes them hard to trust even at a price of 1.83 for the win.
  • Dordrecht managed to secure a win in their most recent game which might give them enough momentum to snatch a result away from home here.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Neither side has been reliable at the back recently so it is likely both teams will manage to get on the scoresheet at some point.

Total goalsOver 3.5 goalsPrice 1.83

Both sides have shown defensive weaknesses in their recent outings which suggests there could be more than three goals scored in this match.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes FC Den Bosch the side to beat here at 51%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on FC Den Bosch, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Den Bosch are clearly the better value at home despite their poor recent run. Dordrecht are struggling just as badly and should give them enough chances to take the points.

Form and momentum

FC Den Bosch come in poor, winning 25% of 8 on record. 2 of their 4 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

FC Dordrecht come in poor, winning 14% of 7 on record. 0 of their 4 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 51% for DBO, 23% for the draw and 26% for DOR once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward FC Den Bosch, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.83, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Den Bosch have lost four out of their last five matches which makes them hard to trust even at a price of 1.83 for the win.
  • Dordrecht managed to secure a win in their most recent game which might give them enough momentum to snatch a result away from home here.
The bottom line

We back FC Den Bosch for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsDBO -120
DBO1.83draw4.00DOR3.55

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

DBOFC Den Bosch8 games on record
Won2
Drawn1
Lost5
  • Scored12and let in17
  • At home2 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWLLL
DORFC Dordrecht7 games on record
Won1
Drawn1
Lost5
  • Scored10and let in22
  • On the road0 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLLLL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

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EdgeBotFootball

Den Bosch vs Dordrecht: Back the home side?

The site model calls Den Bosch at 1.83 because they are better value at home and Dordrecht are struggling badly. The worry is that Den Bosch lost four of their last five games so they are hard to trus...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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