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Betting tips › Liga 1 ›  FC Cajamarca v Alianza Atlético

 Liga 1Sat 7 Nov 20:30 UTCEstadio Héroes de San Ramón

FC Cajamarca v Alianza Atlético tips

CAJFC CajamarcaLWLWL
VS
AATAlianza AtléticoWLWWW
The model callAlianza AtléticoMatch result2.80★★★★2 stars

Alianza Atletico arrive in much better recent form and look good value at nearly three to one. FC Cajamarca are struggling for consistency after losing three of their last five matches.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$56
Profit$36
Why it might land
  • Alianza Atletico come into this fixture on the back of three wins from their last four matches in a very strong run of form.
  • FC Cajamarca have been extremely inconsistent lately as shown by their alternating record of losses and wins across their last five matches.
  • The bookmakers offer a generous price of 2.80 for an away win which makes backing the visitors an attractive option on Saturday.
Why it might not
  • FC Cajamarca are playing on their own turf at the Estadio Heroes de San Ramon where home advantage can always make things difficult.
  • Alianza Atletico suffered a recent defeat during their last five matches which proves they are still capable of slipping up on the road.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both sides show mixed defensive consistency in their recent results which keeps this market open.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

We have no concrete goal totals data or pricing to lean heavily either way on this market.

Opens the books licensed in United States
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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes FC Cajamarca the side to beat here at 40%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Alianza Atlético, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Alianza Atletico arrive in much better recent form and look good value at nearly three to one. FC Cajamarca are struggling for consistency after losing three of their last five matches.

Form and momentum

FC Cajamarca come in patchy, winning 40% of 5 on record. 0 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

Alianza Atlético come in strong, winning 80% of 5 on record. 1 of their 2 away games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 40% for CAJ, 27% for the draw and 32% for AAT once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.80, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • FC Cajamarca are playing on their own turf at the Estadio Heroes de San Ramon where home advantage can always make things difficult.
  • Alianza Atletico suffered a recent defeat during their last five matches which proves they are still capable of slipping up on the road.
The bottom line

We back Alianza Atlético for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsCAJ +125
CAJ2.25draw3.30AAT2.80

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

CAJFC Cajamarca5 games on record
Won2
Drawn0
Lost3
  • Scored9and let in13
  • At home0 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWLWL
AATAlianza Atlético5 games on record
Won4
Drawn0
Lost1
  • Scored13and let in8
  • On the road1 winsfrom2
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLWWW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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