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Betting tips › Scottish Premiership ›  Falkirk v Heart of Midlothian

 Scottish PremiershipTue 15 Sept 18:45 UTCFalkirk StadiumFinished

Falkirk v Heart of Midlothian tips

FALKFalkirkDLLD
2 : 1
HOMHeart of MidlothianWWWW
The model callHeart of MidlothianMatch result1.95★★★★3 starsLost

Heart of Midlothian arrives on a four match winning run and looks far too strong for a Falkirk side struggling for form. The visitors are priced at 1.95 to win which offers solid value given the stark contrast in recent results.

Stake3 units
That is$30
Returns$58.5
Profit$28.5
Why it might land
  • Heart of Midlothian enters this fixture on the back of four consecutive wins that show supreme momentum in the league.
  • Falkirk has failed to win any of their last four matches after recording two draws and two losses in that poor run.
  • The away win is priced at 1.95 which gives a very generous return for a team in such dominant winning form.
Why it might not
  • Falkirk has managed to pick up two draws in their last four matches which proves they can occasionally frustrate opponents.
  • Playing away from home at the Falkirk Stadium is never entirely straightforward regardless of the recent league standings.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by bookWon

Both teams scoring seems likely as the visitors attack with confidence despite defensive vulnerabilities.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice 1.69Won

The over 2.5 goals line is set at 1.69 which reflects expectations of an open game.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Heart of Midlothian the side to beat here at 49%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Heart of Midlothian, and it backs that with a 3 units stake. Heart of Midlothian arrives on a four match winning run and looks far too strong for a Falkirk side struggling for form. The visitors are priced at 1.95 to win which offers solid value given the stark contrast in recent results.

Form and momentum

Falkirk come in poor, winning 0% of 4 on record. 0 of their 1 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

Heart of Midlothian come in strong, winning 100% of 4 on record. 1 of their 1 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 4 wins in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 25% for FALK, 25% for the draw and 49% for HOM once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Heart of Midlothian, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.95, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Falkirk has managed to pick up two draws in their last four matches which proves they can occasionally frustrate opponents.
  • Playing away from home at the Falkirk Stadium is never entirely straightforward regardless of the recent league standings.
The bottom line

We back Heart of Midlothian for 3 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceBet365
FALK3.50draw3.60HOM1.91
SourceDraftKingsHOM -110
FALK3.70draw3.70HOM1.91

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

FALKFalkirk4 games on record
Won0
Drawn2
Lost2
  • Scored3and let in5
  • At homeno winsfrom1
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDLLD
HOMHeart of Midlothian4 games on record
Won4
Drawn0
Lost0
  • Scored11and let in3
  • On the road1 winsfrom1
  • Right now4 wins in a row
Last fiveWWWW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Falkirk against Hearts, are you backing the away win?

The site model goes for Hearts at 1.95 on the back of four straight wins against a struggling Falkirk. On the other hand, Falkirk managed two draws in their last four games which shows they can frustr...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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