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Betting tips › Scottish Premiership ›  Falkirk v Dundee

 Scottish PremiershipSat 10 Oct 14:00 UTCFalkirk Stadium

Falkirk v Dundee tips

FALKFalkirkDWDLL
VS
DUNDundeeWLDLW
The model callOver 2.5Total goals1.69★★★★2 stars

Goals look likely here because both sides show erratic defensive form in recent fixtures. The price on over 2.5 goals stands at 1.69.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$33.8
Profit$13.8
Why it might land
  • Falkirk come into this match at the Falkirk Stadium after struggling for clean sheets during a recent run that includes two defeats and two draws.
  • Dundee arrive having experienced mixed outcomes recently with alternating results including a win and a loss in their last two outings.
  • The bookmakers offer 1.69 for over 2.5 goals which suggests the market expects a fairly open contest at the Falkirk Stadium.
Why it might not
  • Falkirk have managed just one draw and two losses in their last three games which shows they can struggle to break teams down.
  • Dundee have also been inconsistent lately with a recent loss and a draw showing they cannot always be relied upon to force the issue.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both squads have traded wins and losses recently which points toward goals at both ends of the pitch.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Falkirk the side to beat here at 46%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Over 2.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Goals look likely here because both sides show erratic defensive form in recent fixtures. The price on over 2.5 goals stands at 1.69.

Form and momentum

Falkirk come in poor, winning 17% of 6 on record. 1 of their 2 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

Dundee come in solid, winning 50% of 6 on record. 1 of their 2 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 46% for FALK, 27% for the draw and 27% for DUN once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Falkirk, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.69, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Falkirk have managed just one draw and two losses in their last three games which shows they can struggle to break teams down.
  • Dundee have also been inconsistent lately with a recent loss and a draw showing they cannot always be relied upon to force the issue.
The bottom line

We back Over 2.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceBet365
FALK2.01draw3.60DUN3.30
SourceDraftKingsFALK +100
FALK2.00draw3.40DUN3.40

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

FALKFalkirk6 games on record
Won1
Drawn3
Lost2
  • Scored6and let in7
  • At home1 winsfrom2
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDWDLL
DUNDundee6 games on record
Won3
Drawn1
Lost2
  • Scored9and let in6
  • On the road1 winsfrom2
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLDLW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Goals in Falkirk v Dundee?

The site model says a draw with goals looks likely because both defences have been shaky lately and over 2.5 is at 1.69. On the other hand Falkirk have managed just one draw and two losses in their la...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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