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Betting tips › League Two ›  Exeter City v Tranmere Rovers

 League TwoSat 19 Sept 14:00 UTCSt James ParkFinished

Exeter City v Tranmere Rovers tips

EXEExeter CityLDDLW
0 : 0
TRNTranmere RoversLWDDD
The model callUnder 2.5Total goals1.74★★★★2 starsWon

Tranmere arrive on a run of three straight draws which suggests another tight contest at St James Park. We can back under 2.5 goals at the price of 1.74 given how these teams have been playing lately.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$34.8
Profit$14.8
Why it might land
  • Tranmere Rovers come into this match after picking up three draws in a row in their most recent fixtures.
  • The bookmakers offer a decent price of 1.74 on under 2.5 total goals for this League Two clash.
  • Both sides have shown mixed recent form overall with Exeter taking just one win from their last five matches.
Why it might not
  • Exeter City lost their most recent match and will be desperate to find some attacking rhythm at home.
  • Tranmere Rovers did manage a win two games ago which proves they can find the net when needed.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by bookWon

Given Tranmere's recent string of low scoring draws this looks like a tight game where one side might blank.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Exeter City the side to beat here at 41%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Under 2.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Tranmere arrive on a run of three straight draws which suggests another tight contest at St James Park. We can back under 2.5 goals at the price of 1.74 given how these teams have been playing lately.

Form and momentum

Exeter City come in poor, winning 25% of 40 on record. 7 of their 20 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

Tranmere Rovers come in patchy, winning 33% of 6 on record. 0 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 41% for EXE, 28% for the draw and 31% for TRN once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 1.74, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Exeter City lost their most recent match and will be desperate to find some attacking rhythm at home.
  • Tranmere Rovers did manage a win two games ago which proves they can find the net when needed.
The bottom line

We back Under 2.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsEXE +125
EXE2.25draw3.35TRN2.95

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

EXEExeter City40 games on record
Won10
Drawn13
Lost17
  • Scored41and let in49
  • At home7 winsfrom20
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLDDLW
TRNTranmere Rovers6 games on record
Won2
Drawn3
Lost1
  • Scored9and let in7
  • On the road0 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWDDD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Exeter v Tranmere, where is your money going?

The site model calls this a draw and likes under 2.5 goals at 1.74 because Tranmere come here on three straight stalemates. On the other hand, Exeter lost their last game and need to find some spark u...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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