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Betting tips › League Two ›  Exeter City v Fleetwood Town

 League TwoSat 24 Oct 14:00 UTCSt James Park

Exeter City v Fleetwood Town tips

EXEExeter CityDLDLD
VS
FLEFleetwood TownWLLWD
The model callDrawMatch result3.30★★★★1 star

Both teams are struggling to turn draws into wins so a tight stalemate looks the most likely outcome at St James Park.

Stake1 unit
That is$10
Returns$33
Profit$23
Why it might land
  • Exeter City come into this match after picking up three draws and two losses in their last five League Two matches.
  • Fleetwood Town also show patchy recent form with two wins, two losses and a draw from their last five outings.
  • The bookmakers offer a generous price of 3.30 for the draw which reflects how evenly matched these two sides appear.
Why it might not
  • Fleetwood Town managed a win recently which shows they possess the capability to snatch all three points away from home.
  • Exeter City suffered two defeats in their last five fixtures which proves they are entirely capable of losing this match.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both teams leak enough goals in their recent fixtures to suggest both might find the net.

Total goalsUnder 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Neither side has been prolific lately so a low scoring match seems probable.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Exeter City the side to beat here at 37%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Draw, and it backs that with a 1 unit stake. Both teams are struggling to turn draws into wins so a tight stalemate looks the most likely outcome at St James Park.

Form and momentum

Exeter City come in poor, winning 23% of 40 on record. 7 of their 20 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

Fleetwood Town come in solid, winning 45% of 11 on record. 1 of their 4 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 37% for EXE, 28% for the draw and 35% for FLE once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 3.30, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Fleetwood Town managed a win recently which shows they possess the capability to snatch all three points away from home.
  • Exeter City suffered two defeats in their last five fixtures which proves they are entirely capable of losing this match.
The bottom line

We back Draw for 1 unit. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsEXE +155
EXE2.55draw3.30FLE2.70

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

EXEExeter City40 games on record
Won9
Drawn14
Lost17
  • Scored41and let in50
  • At home7 winsfrom20
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDLDLD
FLEFleetwood Town11 games on record
Won5
Drawn4
Lost2
  • Scored18and let in10
  • On the road1 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLLWD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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