Betting tips › Eredivisie › Excelsior v FC Groningen
EredivisieSun 11 Oct 14:45 UTCStadion Woudestein
ExcelsiorDLDWW
FC GroningenWDDLLExcelsior look slightly better equipped at home given their recent wins. Groningen travel here on the back of consecutive losses.
Both sides have shown mixed defensive results recently which should give chances to both attacks.
The price of 1.53 for over 2.5 goals suggests a higher scoring match is expected by the bookmakers.
This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work
Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.
The market makes Excelsior the side to beat here at 38%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Excelsior, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Excelsior look slightly better equipped at home given their recent wins. Groningen travel here on the back of consecutive losses.
Excelsior come in patchy, winning 33% of 40 on record. 6 of their 20 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.
FC Groningen come in patchy, winning 40% of 40 on record. 8 of their 20 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.
The prices turn into 38% for EXC, 26% for the draw and 36% for GRO once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.45, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.
These two have been level across 2 past meetings, 1 wins each and 0 drawn. Nothing in the history separates them.
We back Excelsior for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.
Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.
Excelsior40 games on recordFC Groningen40 games on recordCounted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.
Old meetings are worth less than they look. Squads change, managers change, and a result from two seasons ago tells you almost nothing about this one.
The site model goes for Excelsior at home since they have recent wins and Groningen lost their last two. Then again, Excelsior have drawn two of their last five so they might struggle to finish teams ...