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Betting tips › Carabao Cup ›  Everton v Newcastle United

 Carabao CupThu 29 Oct 19:45 UTCHill Dickinson Stadium

Everton v Newcastle United tips

EVEEvertonWWDDD
VS
NEWNewcastle UnitedWLWDW
The model callOver 2.5Total goals1.83★★★★2 stars

We are heading to the Hill Dickinson Stadium for this Carabao Cup tie where Everton host Newcastle United on Thursday. Goals look likely here given how both teams have been finding the net recently.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$36.6
Profit$16.6
Why it might land
  • Everton come into this cup tie after putting together a solid run of form that includes two wins and three draws from their last five matches.
  • Newcastle United have also shown plenty of attacking intent recently by picking up three wins and a draw alongside just one defeat in their last five outings.
  • The bookmakers have priced the over 2.5 goals line at an appealing 1.83 which gives us a solid price to back goals in this cup clash.
Why it might not
  • Everton have shown a tendency to draw tight games lately with three consecutive stalemates in their most recent sequence of fixtures.
  • Newcastle United managed to win three of their last five matches but they also suffered a defeat which proves they can slip up away from home.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Everton and Newcastle both have enough recent wins behind them to suggest each team will find the net at the Hill Dickinson Stadium.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Everton the side to beat here at 39%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Over 2.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. We are heading to the Hill Dickinson Stadium for this Carabao Cup tie where Everton host Newcastle United on Thursday. Goals look likely here given how both teams have been finding the net recently.

Form and momentum

Everton come in patchy, winning 38% of 40 on record. 8 of their 21 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 2 wins in a row.

Newcastle United come in patchy, winning 43% of 40 on record. 7 of their 20 away games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 39% for EVE, 29% for the draw and 32% for NEW once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 1.83, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

When these two meet

These two have been level across 2 past meetings, 1 wins each and 0 drawn. Nothing in the history separates them.

Where it could go wrong
  • Everton have shown a tendency to draw tight games lately with three consecutive stalemates in their most recent sequence of fixtures.
  • Newcastle United managed to win three of their last five matches but they also suffered a defeat which proves they can slip up away from home.
The bottom line

We back Over 2.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsEVE +130
EVE2.30draw3.15NEW2.85

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

EVEEverton40 games on record
Won15
Drawn12
Lost13
  • Scored52and let in48
  • At home8 winsfrom21
  • Right now2 wins in a row
Last fiveWWDDD
NEWNewcastle United40 games on record
Won17
Drawn9
Lost14
  • Scored71and let in65
  • On the road7 winsfrom20
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLWDW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

Head to head

When these two have met

1EVE wins
0drawn
1NEW wins
  • Newcastle United 2 : 3 Everton28 Feb 2026 · Premier League
  • Everton 1 : 4 Newcastle United29 Nov 2025 · Premier League

Old meetings are worth less than they look. Squads change, managers change, and a result from two seasons ago tells you almost nothing about this one.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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