Betting tips › Carabao Cup › Everton v Newcastle United
Everton v Newcastle United tips
EvertonWWDDD
Newcastle UnitedWLWDWWe are heading to the Hill Dickinson Stadium for this Carabao Cup tie where Everton host Newcastle United on Thursday. Goals look likely here given how both teams have been finding the net recently.
- Everton come into this cup tie after putting together a solid run of form that includes two wins and three draws from their last five matches.
- Newcastle United have also shown plenty of attacking intent recently by picking up three wins and a draw alongside just one defeat in their last five outings.
- The bookmakers have priced the over 2.5 goals line at an appealing 1.83 which gives us a solid price to back goals in this cup clash.
- Everton have shown a tendency to draw tight games lately with three consecutive stalemates in their most recent sequence of fixtures.
- Newcastle United managed to win three of their last five matches but they also suffered a defeat which proves they can slip up away from home.
Everton and Newcastle both have enough recent wins behind them to suggest each team will find the net at the Hill Dickinson Stadium.
This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work
Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.
Edge Analysis
The market makes Everton the side to beat here at 39%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Over 2.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. We are heading to the Hill Dickinson Stadium for this Carabao Cup tie where Everton host Newcastle United on Thursday. Goals look likely here given how both teams have been finding the net recently.
Everton come in patchy, winning 38% of 40 on record. 8 of their 21 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 2 wins in a row.
Newcastle United come in patchy, winning 43% of 40 on record. 7 of their 20 away games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.
The prices turn into 39% for EVE, 29% for the draw and 32% for NEW once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 1.83, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.
These two have been level across 2 past meetings, 1 wins each and 0 drawn. Nothing in the history separates them.
- Everton have shown a tendency to draw tight games lately with three consecutive stalemates in their most recent sequence of fixtures.
- Newcastle United managed to win three of their last five matches but they also suffered a defeat which proves they can slip up away from home.
We back Over 2.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.
Every price we track
Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.
Recent Performance
Everton40 games on record- Scored52and let in48
- At home8 winsfrom21
- Right now2 wins in a row
Newcastle United40 games on record- Scored71and let in65
- On the road7 winsfrom20
- Right now1 win in a row
Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.
When these two have met
- Newcastle United 2 : 3 Everton28 Feb 2026 · Premier League
- Everton 1 : 4 Newcastle United29 Nov 2025 · Premier League
Old meetings are worth less than they look. Squads change, managers change, and a result from two seasons ago tells you almost nothing about this one.
