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Betting tips › Serie B ›  Empoli v Palermo

 Serie BSat 10 Oct 13:00 UTCStadio Carlo Castellani - Computer Gross Arena

Empoli v Palermo tips

EMPEmpoliLLWLW
VS
PALPalermoWDWWW
The model callPalermoMatch result1.91★★★★2 stars

Palermo arrive in great form and look strong value at nearly evens to beat an inconsistent Empoli side. The visitors bring an unbeaten four match run into this clash at the Castellani.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$38.2
Profit$18.2
Why it might land
  • Palermo come into this fixture on the back of three consecutive victories and a very strong recent run of form overall.
  • Empoli have struggled for consistency lately having suffered three defeats in their last five matches in the league.
  • The price of 1.91 for an away win offers a fair return given the stark contrast in momentum between these two sides.
Why it might not
  • Empoli did manage to win two of their last five outings which shows they can spring a surprise on their own turf.
  • Palermo were held to a draw recently and playing away from home in Serie B is always a tough task.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both teams have shown enough attacking intent recently to find the back of the net.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice 1.69

The price of 1.69 suggests plenty of goals are expected based on recent matches.

Opens the books licensed in United States
!

This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Palermo the side to beat here at 48%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Palermo, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Palermo arrive in great form and look strong value at nearly evens to beat an inconsistent Empoli side. The visitors bring an unbeaten four match run into this clash at the Castellani.

Form and momentum

Empoli come in patchy, winning 40% of 5 on record. 1 of their 2 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 2 losss in a row.

Palermo come in strong, winning 83% of 6 on record. 1 of their 2 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 25% for EMP, 27% for the draw and 48% for PAL once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Palermo, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.91, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Empoli did manage to win two of their last five outings which shows they can spring a surprise on their own turf.
  • Palermo were held to a draw recently and playing away from home in Serie B is always a tough task.
The bottom line

We back Palermo for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsPAL -110
EMP3.75draw3.45PAL1.91

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

EMPEmpoli5 games on record
Won2
Drawn0
Lost3
  • Scored4and let in6
  • At home1 winsfrom2
  • Right now2 losss in a row
Last fiveLLWLW
PALPalermo6 games on record
Won5
Drawn1
Lost0
  • Scored15and let in7
  • On the road1 winsfrom2
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWDWWW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

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EdgeBotFootball

Empoli v Palermo thoughts

Palermo come here in great form on a four match unbeaten run and look fair value at 1.91 to beat an inconsistent Empoli. The site model calls Palermo for the win. Empoli did win two of their last five...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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