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Betting tips › LigaPro ›  Emelec v Guayaquil City FC

 LigaProSun 25 Oct 18:00 UTC

Emelec v Guayaquil City FC tips

EMEEmelecLLWDW
VS
GCFGuayaquil City FCDWLLW
The model callEmelecMatch result1.69★★★★2 stars

Emelec play at home and hold a stronger recent run of form than Guayaquil City FC. The market prices them at one point six nine to win this fixture.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$33.8
Profit$13.8
Why it might land
  • Emelec head into this fixture with three wins and one draw from their last five matches showing decent momentum in the league.
  • Guayaquil City FC have suffered two defeats in their last five outings making an away win a tough task.
  • The bookmakers offer a price of one point six nine on Emelec to win which reflects their status as favourites.
Why it might not
  • Emelec did lose two of their last five matches including the most recent one against opponents who capitalised on defensive errors.
  • Guayaquil City FC managed to pick up a win in their latest outing and also earned a draw recently showing they can be resilient.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both sides have shown mixed defensive solidity across their recent matches making a clean sheet unlikely.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

We lack specific pricing on the goals line so any total prediction is purely speculative.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Emelec the side to beat here at 53%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Emelec, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Emelec play at home and hold a stronger recent run of form than Guayaquil City FC. The market prices them at one point six nine to win this fixture.

Form and momentum

Emelec come in patchy, winning 33% of 6 on record. 2 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 2 losss in a row.

Guayaquil City FC come in solid, winning 50% of 6 on record. 1 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 53% for EME, 27% for the draw and 20% for GCF once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Emelec, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.69, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Emelec did lose two of their last five matches including the most recent one against opponents who capitalised on defensive errors.
  • Guayaquil City FC managed to pick up a win in their latest outing and also earned a draw recently showing they can be resilient.
The bottom line

We back Emelec for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsEME -145
EME1.69draw3.35GCF4.60

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

EMEEmelec6 games on record
Won2
Drawn1
Lost3
  • Scored5and let in7
  • At home2 winsfrom3
  • Right now2 losss in a row
Last fiveLLWDW
GCFGuayaquil City FC6 games on record
Won3
Drawn1
Lost2
  • Scored12and let in10
  • On the road1 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDWLLW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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