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Betting tips › LaLiga ›  Elche v Valencia

 LaLigaSun 1 Nov 17:30 UTCEstadio Martínez Valero

Elche v Valencia tips

ELCElcheWLDLL
VS
VALValenciaLWLLL
The model callElcheMatch result2.45★★★★1 star

Elche plays at home against Valencia with a slight edge in recent form despite a patchy run. Valencia travels in terrible shape after losing four of their last five matches.

Stake1 unit
That is$10
Returns$24.5
Profit$14.5
Why it might land
  • Elche comes home after a recent win against a run of poor results that still looks better than the away side.
  • Valencia arrives at Estadio Martínez Valero having suffered four defeats from their last five league fixtures.
  • The bookmakers offer Elche at twenty four fifty which gives a fair price on the home team taking three points.
Why it might not
  • Elche has lost three of their last five matches which proves they are far from reliable favorites here.
  • Valencia might grab a positive result on the road because Elche has also struggled for consistency recently.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Neither side keeps clean sheets very often given their losing runs.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice 1.91

Both defenses leak goals regularly based on their poor recent results in the league.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Elche the side to beat here at 38%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Elche, and it backs that with a 1 unit stake. Elche plays at home against Valencia with a slight edge in recent form despite a patchy run. Valencia travels in terrible shape after losing four of their last five matches.

Form and momentum

Elche come in poor, winning 23% of 40 on record. 7 of their 19 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

Valencia come in poor, winning 30% of 40 on record. 6 of their 20 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 38% for ELC, 28% for the draw and 33% for VAL once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.45, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

When these two meet

Across 2 past meetings ELC hold the edge with 1 wins to 0, with 1 drawn. Old results carry less weight than they look, but the pattern is worth a glance.

Where it could go wrong
  • Elche has lost three of their last five matches which proves they are far from reliable favorites here.
  • Valencia might grab a positive result on the road because Elche has also struggled for consistency recently.
The bottom line

We back Elche for 1 unit. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsELC +145
ELC2.45draw3.30VAL2.80

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

ELCElche40 games on record
Won9
Drawn12
Lost19
  • Scored53and let in70
  • At home7 winsfrom19
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLDLL
VALValencia40 games on record
Won12
Drawn10
Lost18
  • Scored44and let in60
  • On the road6 winsfrom20
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWLLL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

Head to head

When these two have met

1ELC wins
1drawn
0VAL wins
  • Elche 1 : 0 Valencia11 Apr 2026 · LaLiga
  • Valencia 1 : 1 Elche10 Jan 2026 · LaLiga

Old meetings are worth less than they look. Squads change, managers change, and a result from two seasons ago tells you almost nothing about this one.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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