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Betting tips › USL Championship ›  El Paso Locomotive FC v Sacramento Republic FC

 USL ChampionshipSun 18 Oct 01:00 UTCSouthwest University Park

El Paso Locomotive FC v Sacramento Republic FC tips

ELPEl Paso Locomotive FCDWWWW
VS
SACSacramento Republic FCWDWDD
The model callEl Paso Locomotive FCMatch result2.60★★★★2 stars

El Paso bring a fantastic winning run into this home fixture at Southwest University Park. Sacramento are tough to beat but have too many recent draws on their record.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$52
Profit$32
Why it might land
  • El Paso Locomotive FC enter this match with four straight wins following their recent draw, showing serious momentum.
  • El Paso Locomotive FC are playing at home where local support at Southwest University Park usually pushes them forward.
  • Sacramento Republic FC have been drawing too often lately with three stalemates in their last five outings.
Why it might not
  • Sacramento Republic FC remain difficult to beat because they have avoided defeat across their entire five match recent run.
  • The bookmakers offer a very tight market with Sacramento priced at 2.40 to win which shows this is a close contest.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Sacramento keep finding the net in most games while El Paso carry strong scoring form.

Total goalsUnder 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Both sides often keep matches tight when they meet good opposition in this league.

Opens the books licensed in United States
!

This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Sacramento Republic FC the side to beat here at 38%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on El Paso Locomotive FC, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. El Paso bring a fantastic winning run into this home fixture at Southwest University Park. Sacramento are tough to beat but have too many recent draws on their record.

Form and momentum

El Paso Locomotive FC come in strong, winning 83% of 6 on record. 2 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

Sacramento Republic FC come in patchy, winning 33% of 6 on record. 1 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 35% for ELP, 27% for the draw and 38% for SAC once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.60, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Sacramento Republic FC remain difficult to beat because they have avoided defeat across their entire five match recent run.
  • The bookmakers offer a very tight market with Sacramento priced at 2.40 to win which shows this is a close contest.
The bottom line

We back El Paso Locomotive FC for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsSAC +140
ELP2.60draw3.35SAC2.40

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

ELPEl Paso Locomotive FC6 games on record
Won5
Drawn1
Lost0
  • Scored13and let in5
  • At home2 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDWWWW
SACSacramento Republic FC6 games on record
Won2
Drawn4
Lost0
  • Scored8and let in6
  • On the road1 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWDWDD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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