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Betting tips › College Football ›  South Florida Bulls vs East Carolina Pirates

 College FootballSat 7 Nov 00:30 UTCDowdy-Ficklen Stadium

South Florida Bulls vs East Carolina Pirates tips

USFSouth Florida BullsWWLLW
VS
ECUEast Carolina PiratesWLLWW
The model callEast Carolina Pirates +1.5Handicap1.87★★★★2 stars

East Carolina play at home and get a small start against South Florida on the handicap market. The recent form for both teams looks mixed enough to keep this contest very close right down to the final whistle.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$37.4
Profit$17.4
Why it might land
  • East Carolina returns to their home ground at Dowdy Ficklen Stadium carrying a recent run of form showing three wins from their last five matches.
  • The bookmakers offer a handicap price of 1.87 on the home side receiving a start of plus 1.5 points against their opponents.
  • South Florida has lost two of their last five matches on the field which suggests they can be vulnerable on the road.
Why it might not
  • South Florida enters this fixture after securing a recent victory which might give them some momentum to overcome the narrow handicap spread.
  • East Carolina has also suffered two defeats in their last five outings to show they are far from unbeatable in this conference.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Total pointsOver 45.5 pointsPrice 1.91

The total points line is set at 45.5 and both teams have shown mixed defensive results in their recent matches.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes South Florida Bulls the side to beat here at 51%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on East Carolina Pirates +1.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. East Carolina play at home and get a small start against South Florida on the handicap market. The recent form for both teams looks mixed enough to keep this contest very close right down to the final whistle.

Form and momentum

East Carolina Pirates come in solid, winning 53% of 15 on record. 6 of their 8 home games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

South Florida Bulls come in strong, winning 79% of 14 on record. 4 of their 6 away games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 2 wins in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 49% for ECU and 51% for USF once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 1.87, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • South Florida enters this fixture after securing a recent victory which might give them some momentum to overcome the narrow handicap spread.
  • East Carolina has also suffered two defeats in their last five outings to show they are far from unbeatable in this conference.
The bottom line

We back East Carolina Pirates +1.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsUSF -1.5
ECU +1.51.87USF -1.51.95over 45.51.91under 45.51.91

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

ECUEast Carolina Pirates15 games on record
Won8
Lost7
  • Scored404and let in313
  • At home6 winsfrom8
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLLWW
USFSouth Florida Bulls14 games on record
Won11
Lost3
  • Scored460and let in264
  • On the road4 winsfrom6
  • Right now2 wins in a row
Last fiveWWLLW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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