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Betting tips › Liga de Expansion ›  Durango v Club Atlético Morelia

 Liga de ExpansionSun 1 Nov 01:00 UTCEstadio Francisco Zarco

Durango v Club Atlético Morelia tips

DURDurangoWWLDD
VS
MORClub Atlético MoreliaLWWWW
The model callClub Atlético MoreliaMatch result2.65★★★★2 stars

Club Atlético Morelia arrive in tremendous form with four wins on the bounce. Durango have only managed two draws and a defeat in their last three outings.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$53
Profit$33
Why it might land
  • Club Atlético Morelia come into this fixture on a brilliant run of four consecutive victories across their most recent matches.
  • Durango have struggled to turn draws into victories recently as shown by their back to back stalemates preceding this fixture.
  • The bookmakers offer a very tempting price of 2.65 for Club Atlético Morelia to secure another away win here.
Why it might not
  • Durango proved they can still win matches by claiming victory in two of their last five outings before this weekend.
  • Playing away from home at the Estadio Francisco Zarco is never easy against a Durango side that avoided defeat in their last two games.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both sides have enough recent form to suggest they can find the back of the net.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

We have no price for the total goals line so it is best to avoid guessing.

Opens the books licensed in United States
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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Durango the side to beat here at 37%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Club Atlético Morelia, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Club Atlético Morelia arrive in tremendous form with four wins on the bounce. Durango have only managed two draws and a defeat in their last three outings.

Form and momentum

Durango come in patchy, winning 33% of 6 on record. 1 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side built on a tight back line. Right now they are on 2 wins in a row.

Club Atlético Morelia come in strong, winning 67% of 6 on record. 2 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 37% for DUR, 29% for the draw and 34% for MOR once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.65, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Durango proved they can still win matches by claiming victory in two of their last five outings before this weekend.
  • Playing away from home at the Estadio Francisco Zarco is never easy against a Durango side that avoided defeat in their last two games.
The bottom line

We back Club Atlético Morelia for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsDUR +145
DUR2.45draw3.15MOR2.65

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

DURDurango6 games on record
Won2
Drawn2
Lost2
  • Scored5and let in4
  • At home1 winsfrom3
  • Right now2 wins in a row
Last fiveWWLDD
MORClub Atlético Morelia6 games on record
Won4
Drawn0
Lost2
  • Scored10and let in6
  • On the road2 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWWWW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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