Betting tips › Championship › Derby County v Wrexham
ChampionshipSat 10 Oct 14:00 UTCPride Park
Derby CountyDLLLW
WrexhamWLDDWThis match looks tight and cagey with two evenly matched sides. The under goal line at 1.74 offers a sensible route through.
Recent runs featuring multiple losses and low scoring outings suggest at least one side might struggle to score.
This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work
Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.
The market makes Derby County the side to beat here at 36%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Under 2.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. This match looks tight and cagey with two evenly matched sides. The under goal line at 1.74 offers a sensible route through.
Derby County come in solid, winning 45% of 40 on record. 9 of their 20 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.
Wrexham come in patchy, winning 43% of 40 on record. 7 of their 20 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.
The prices turn into 36% for DER, 28% for the draw and 36% for WXM once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 1.74, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.
Across 2 past meetings WXM have had the better of it, 1 wins to 0, with 1 drawn. Squads change, so read it as colour rather than proof.
We back Under 2.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.
Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.
Derby County40 games on recordWrexham40 games on recordCounted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.
Old meetings are worth less than they look. Squads change, managers change, and a result from two seasons ago tells you almost nothing about this one.
The site model goes for a draw here because these two look very evenly matched in a tight game. Wrexham have won two of their last five so they can certainly score. What are you lot backing on this on...