Derby v West Brom tonight?
The site model fancies West Brom at 2.45 because they bring better recent form to Pride Park while Derby struggle for consistency. Away wins on Wednesday nights are always hard earned in this division...
Betting tips › Championship › Derby County v West Bromwich Albion
Derby CountyLWLDL
West Bromwich AlbionWDLLWWest Brom bring better recent form to Pride Park for this midweek clash. Derby struggle for consistency and face a tough test here.
Both sides have too many recent losses with blanks to back goals at both ends.
Derby and West Brom both show too many low scoring recent matches to trust the over at those prices.
This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work
Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.
The market makes West Bromwich Albion the side to beat here at 41%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on West Bromwich Albion, and it backs that with a 1 unit stake. West Brom bring better recent form to Pride Park for this midweek clash. Derby struggle for consistency and face a tough test here.
Derby County come in solid, winning 45% of 40 on record. 9 of their 20 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.
West Bromwich Albion come in poor, winning 25% of 40 on record. 2 of their 20 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.
The prices turn into 31% for DER, 28% for the draw and 41% for WBA once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.45, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.
Across 2 past meetings DER hold the edge with 1 wins to 0, with 1 drawn. Old results carry less weight than they look, but the pattern is worth a glance.
We back West Bromwich Albion for 1 unit. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.
Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.
Derby County40 games on record
West Bromwich Albion40 games on recordCounted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.
Old meetings are worth less than they look. Squads change, managers change, and a result from two seasons ago tells you almost nothing about this one.
The site model fancies West Brom at 2.45 because they bring better recent form to Pride Park while Derby struggle for consistency. Away wins on Wednesday nights are always hard earned in this division...