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Betting tips › Championship ›  Derby County v West Bromwich Albion

 ChampionshipWed 9 Sept 18:45 UTCPride ParkFinished

Derby County v West Bromwich Albion tips

DERDerby CountyLWLDL
0 : 1
WBAWest Bromwich AlbionWDLLW
The model callWest Bromwich AlbionMatch result2.45★★★★1 starWon

West Brom bring better recent form to Pride Park for this midweek clash. Derby struggle for consistency and face a tough test here.

Stake1 unit
That is$10
Returns$24.5
Profit$14.5
Why it might land
  • West Brom won three of their last five matches played recently.
  • Derby lost three of their last five fixtures in the league.
  • The away side holds the better price at two point four five.
Why it might not
  • Away wins are always hard earned in this division on Wednesday nights.
  • Derby have home advantage at Pride Park which can spark a surprise.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by bookWon

Both sides have too many recent losses with blanks to back goals at both ends.

Total goalsUnder 2.5 goalsPrice 1.83Won

Derby and West Brom both show too many low scoring recent matches to trust the over at those prices.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes West Bromwich Albion the side to beat here at 41%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on West Bromwich Albion, and it backs that with a 1 unit stake. West Brom bring better recent form to Pride Park for this midweek clash. Derby struggle for consistency and face a tough test here.

Form and momentum

Derby County come in solid, winning 45% of 40 on record. 9 of their 20 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

West Bromwich Albion come in poor, winning 25% of 40 on record. 2 of their 20 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 31% for DER, 28% for the draw and 41% for WBA once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.45, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

When these two meet

Across 2 past meetings DER hold the edge with 1 wins to 0, with 1 drawn. Old results carry less weight than they look, but the pattern is worth a glance.

Where it could go wrong
  • Away wins are always hard earned in this division on Wednesday nights.
  • Derby have home advantage at Pride Park which can spark a surprise.
The bottom line

We back West Bromwich Albion for 1 unit. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsWBA +135
DER3.05draw3.45WBA2.35

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

DERDerby County40 games on record
Won18
Drawn7
Lost15
  • Scored57and let in50
  • At home9 winsfrom20
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWLDL
WBAWest Bromwich Albion40 games on record
Won10
Drawn12
Lost18
  • Scored43and let in58
  • On the road2 winsfrom20
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWDLLW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

Head to head

When these two have met

1DER wins
1drawn
0WBA wins
  • Derby County 1 : 1 West Bromwich Albion23 Jan 2026 · Championship
  • West Bromwich Albion 0 : 1 Derby County13 Sept 2025 · Championship

Old meetings are worth less than they look. Squads change, managers change, and a result from two seasons ago tells you almost nothing about this one.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Derby v West Brom tonight?

The site model fancies West Brom at 2.45 because they bring better recent form to Pride Park while Derby struggle for consistency. Away wins on Wednesday nights are always hard earned in this division...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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