Betting tips › Championship › Derby County v Stoke City
ChampionshipSat 17 Oct 14:00 UTCPride Park
Derby CountyDLLLW
Stoke CityWWDWWStoke arrive in fine form and should take advantage of Derby struggling badly. The visitors look a fair price to win this Saturday afternoon.
Derby leak goals during their defeats while Stoke are scoring freely in most games.
We do not have enough pricing data to back this with any real certainty.
This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work
Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.
The market makes Stoke City the side to beat here at 39%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Stoke City, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Stoke arrive in fine form and should take advantage of Derby struggling badly. The visitors look a fair price to win this Saturday afternoon.
Derby County come in solid, winning 45% of 40 on record. 9 of their 20 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.
Stoke City come in patchy, winning 35% of 40 on record. 5 of their 20 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 2 wins in a row.
The prices turn into 34% for DER, 27% for the draw and 39% for STK once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.45, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.
These two have been level across 2 past meetings, 1 wins each and 0 drawn. Nothing in the history separates them.
We back Stoke City for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.
Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.
Derby County40 games on recordStoke City40 games on recordCounted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.
Old meetings are worth less than they look. Squads change, managers change, and a result from two seasons ago tells you almost nothing about this one.
Stoke are in fine form and should take advantage of Derby struggling badly. The site model calls Stoke at 2.45 to win this one. But Stoke are away at Pride Park where Derby will be desperate to turn t...