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Betting tips › Championship ›  Derby County v Norwich City

 ChampionshipTue 3 Nov 19:45 UTCPride Park

Derby County v Norwich City tips

DERDerby CountyDLLLW
VS
NORNorwich CityLLLWW
The model callNorwich CityMatch result1.86★★★★2 stars

Norwich travel to Pride Park with better recent momentum than Derby. The away price of 1.86 looks fair given the contrasting runs of form.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$37.2
Profit$17.2
Why it might land
  • Norwich City come into this fixture at Pride Park having secured two wins from their most recent five Championship matches played.
  • Derby County have struggled badly for points lately with three defeats and a draw recorded across their last five league outings.
  • Norwich City are available at a price of 1.86 to win this match which offers reasonable value based on current league form.
Why it might not
  • Norwich City suffered three defeats in a row right before picking up their two recent victories which leaves some doubt about consistency.
  • Derby County managed to win one of their last five matches and have home advantage at Pride Park on Tuesday night.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both sides have been conceding goals regularly during their recent five match runs.

Total goalsOver 3 goalsPrice 2.00

The total goals line is set at 3 with the over priced at 2.00.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Norwich City the side to beat here at 50%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Norwich City, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Norwich travel to Pride Park with better recent momentum than Derby. The away price of 1.86 looks fair given the contrasting runs of form.

Form and momentum

Derby County come in solid, winning 45% of 40 on record. 9 of their 20 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

Norwich City come in solid, winning 48% of 40 on record. 9 of their 20 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 3 losss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 26% for DER, 25% for the draw and 50% for NOR once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Norwich City, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.86, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

When these two meet

Across 1 past meetings DER hold the edge with 1 wins to 0, with 0 drawn. Old results carry less weight than they look, but the pattern is worth a glance.

Where it could go wrong
  • Norwich City suffered three defeats in a row right before picking up their two recent victories which leaves some doubt about consistency.
  • Derby County managed to win one of their last five matches and have home advantage at Pride Park on Tuesday night.
The bottom line

We back Norwich City for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceBet365
DER3.60draw3.70NOR1.86

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

DERDerby County40 games on record
Won18
Drawn6
Lost16
  • Scored57and let in51
  • At home9 winsfrom20
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDLLLW
NORNorwich City40 games on record
Won19
Drawn5
Lost16
  • Scored61and let in55
  • On the road9 winsfrom20
  • Right now3 losss in a row
Last fiveLLLWW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

Head to head

When these two have met

1DER wins
0drawn
0NOR wins
  • Derby County 1 : 0 Norwich City21 Oct 2025 · Championship

Old meetings are worth less than they look. Squads change, managers change, and a result from two seasons ago tells you almost nothing about this one.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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