The matchupThe market makes Real Betis the side to beat here at 38%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Real Betis, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Real Betis arrive at Riazor with four wins from their last five outings and offer a generous price. Deportivo are tough to beat at home but their recent sequence features too many stalemates.
Form and momentumDeportivo come in patchy, winning 33% of 6 on record. 1 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.
Real Betis come in solid, winning 50% of 40 on record. 8 of their 20 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 4 wins in a row.
The price and the valueThe prices turn into 34% for DEP, 29% for the draw and 38% for BET once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.45, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.
Where it could go wrong- Deportivo protect their turf well and remain unbeaten across their last five matches following a solid sequence of results.
- Real Betis suffered a defeat recently in their last five matches which shows they can be vulnerable away from home.
The bottom lineWe back Real Betis for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.