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Betting tips › LaLiga ›  Deportivo v Osasuna

 LaLigaMon 2 Nov 20:00 UTCRiazor

Deportivo v Osasuna tips

DEPDeportivoDLDWW
VS
OSAOsasunaDLLLW
The model callDeportivoMatch result2.15★★★★2 stars

Deportivo have picked up some decent momentum recently and look well priced at home against an inconsistent Osasuna side. The visitors arrive on a poor run of form that suggests they will struggle at the Riazor.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$43
Profit$23
Why it might land
  • Deportivo come into this fixture with two wins and two draws from their last five matches which shows solid recent momentum.
  • Osasuna have struggled on the road lately having suffered three defeats in their last five outings across all competitions.
  • The price of 2.15 for a home win offers decent value given the contrasting recent form of these two sides.
Why it might not
  • Deportivo have also recorded two draws in their last five fixtures which proves they can sometimes struggle to finish teams off.
  • Osasuna did manage to win their most recent match and might have built some renewed confidence heading to the Riazor.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both teams have enough mixed defensive results in their recent runs to give goals on both sides a fair chance.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Neither side has shown enough defensive consistency lately to suggest a clean sheet is likely.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Deportivo the side to beat here at 44%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Deportivo, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Deportivo have picked up some decent momentum recently and look well priced at home against an inconsistent Osasuna side. The visitors arrive on a poor run of form that suggests they will struggle at the Riazor.

Form and momentum

Deportivo come in poor, winning 29% of 7 on record. 1 of their 4 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

Osasuna come in poor, winning 28% of 40 on record. 3 of their 19 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 44% for DEP, 29% for the draw and 27% for OSA once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Deportivo, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 2.15, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Deportivo have also recorded two draws in their last five fixtures which proves they can sometimes struggle to finish teams off.
  • Osasuna did manage to win their most recent match and might have built some renewed confidence heading to the Riazor.
The bottom line

We back Deportivo for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsDEP +115
DEP2.15draw3.25OSA3.55

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

DEPDeportivo7 games on record
Won2
Drawn4
Lost1
  • Scored10and let in8
  • At home1 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDLDWW
OSAOsasuna40 games on record
Won11
Drawn11
Lost18
  • Scored46and let in59
  • On the road3 winsfrom19
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDLLLW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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