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Betting tips › LaLiga ›  Deportivo v Levante

 LaLigaFri 16 Oct 19:00 UTCRiazor

Deportivo v Levante tips

DEPDeportivoDLDWW
VS
LEVLevanteLLDWD
The model callOver 2.5Total goals1.87★★★★2 stars

Expect an open match at Riazor because both squads have mixed runs of form recently. The price of 1.87 for over 2.5 goals offers decent value based on how these sides usually play.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$37.4
Profit$17.4
Why it might land
  • Deportivo comes into this fixture at Riazor with some decent momentum after picking up two wins and two draws from their last five matches.
  • Levante travels here trying to find consistency after managing only one victory across their own recent run of five matches in the league.
  • The bookmakers price both the over and under goals line at 1.87, which gives us a fair chance to back goals at the Riazor.
Why it might not
  • Deportivo has also recorded a recent draw and a defeat in their last five outings, showing they are far from invincible at home.
  • Levante managed to pick up draws in two of their last five matches, meaning they can sometimes tighten up and frustrate their opponents.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

With Deportivo and Levante both showing mixed defensive solidity lately, Riazor should see goals at both ends of the pitch.

Opens the books licensed in United States
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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Deportivo the side to beat here at 45%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Over 2.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Expect an open match at Riazor because both squads have mixed runs of form recently. The price of 1.87 for over 2.5 goals offers decent value based on how these sides usually play.

Form and momentum

Deportivo come in poor, winning 29% of 7 on record. 1 of their 4 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

Levante come in poor, winning 30% of 40 on record. 4 of their 21 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 2 losss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 45% for DEP, 28% for the draw and 28% for LEV once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Deportivo, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.87, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Deportivo has also recorded a recent draw and a defeat in their last five outings, showing they are far from invincible at home.
  • Levante managed to pick up draws in two of their last five matches, meaning they can sometimes tighten up and frustrate their opponents.
The bottom line

We back Over 2.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsDEP +110
DEP2.10draw3.40LEV3.40

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

DEPDeportivo7 games on record
Won2
Drawn4
Lost1
  • Scored10and let in8
  • At home1 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDLDWW
LEVLevante40 games on record
Won12
Drawn10
Lost18
  • Scored50and let in64
  • On the road4 winsfrom21
  • Right now2 losss in a row
Last fiveLLDWD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Deportivo v Levante, goals on the cards?

The site model calls the draw here. The short case is that an open match is expected at Riazor because both squads have mixed runs of form recently, making the over 2.5 goals price look decent. The st...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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