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Betting tips › Liga Profesional ›  Deportivo Riestra v Unión (Santa Fe)

 Liga ProfesionalSun 18 Oct 18:00 UTCGuillermo Laza

Deportivo Riestra v Unión (Santa Fe) tips

RIEDeportivo RiestraDLDDD
VS
USFUnión (Santa Fe)LLWWW
The model callUnión (Santa Fe)Match result3.50★★★★1 star

Union arrive with three straight wins behind them while Deportivo Riestra have drawn four of their last five matches. That away price of 3.50 offers a tempting look against a home side struggling to turn stalemates into victories.

Stake1 unit
That is$10
Returns$35
Profit$25
Why it might land
  • Union bring strong momentum into this fixture after securing three consecutive victories in their most recent league outings.
  • Deportivo Riestra have failed to win any of their last four matches, picking up four draws and a single defeat along the way.
  • The 3.50 price available on an away win gives very fair value for a side currently showing much better winning form.
Why it might not
  • Deportivo Riestra prove very difficult to beat on home turf as shown by their run of four draws from their last five fixtures.
  • Union suffered two losses right before their current winning streak, which shows they can struggle on the road.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by book

The heavy draw pattern for the home side suggests another low scoring game where one clean sheet might settle it.

Total goalsUnder 1.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Deportivo Riestra draw so many matches because their games tend to be tight affairs with very few clear scoring chances.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Deportivo Riestra the side to beat here at 41%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Unión (Santa Fe), and it backs that with a 1 unit stake. Union arrive with three straight wins behind them while Deportivo Riestra have drawn four of their last five matches. That away price of 3.50 offers a tempting look against a home side struggling to turn stalemates into victories.

Form and momentum

Deportivo Riestra come in poor, winning 14% of 7 on record. 1 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

Unión (Santa Fe) come in patchy, winning 43% of 7 on record. 1 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 2 losss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 41% for RIE, 33% for the draw and 26% for USF once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Deportivo Riestra, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 3.50, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Deportivo Riestra prove very difficult to beat on home turf as shown by their run of four draws from their last five fixtures.
  • Union suffered two losses right before their current winning streak, which shows they can struggle on the road.
The bottom line

We back Unión (Santa Fe) for 1 unit. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsRIE +125
RIE2.25draw2.80USF3.50

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

RIEDeportivo Riestra7 games on record
Won1
Drawn4
Lost2
  • Scored4and let in7
  • At home1 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDLDDD
USFUnión (Santa Fe)7 games on record
Won3
Drawn0
Lost4
  • Scored13and let in11
  • On the road1 winsfrom3
  • Right now2 losss in a row
Last fiveLLWWW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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