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Betting tips › Categoria Primera A ›  Deportivo Pereira v Independiente Santa Fe

 Categoria Primera ATue 29 Sept 20:30 UTCEstadio Santiago de Las Atalayas

Deportivo Pereira v Independiente Santa Fe tips

PERDeportivo PereiraDDLDL
VS
SFEIndependiente Santa FeLWWDW
The model callIndependiente Santa FeMatch result1.83★★★★2 stars

Santa Fe bring much better recent form into this trip against a struggling Pereira side. The away win price of 1.83 offers a fair reflection of the gap between these two teams.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$36.6
Profit$16.6
Why it might land
  • Independiente Santa Fe arrive with a strong run of three wins and a draw from their last five matches in the league.
  • Deportivo Pereira are struggling badly for victories after failing to win any of their last five fixtures with three draws and two defeats.
  • The bookmakers price Independiente Santa Fe at 1.83 to win which matches their status as the form side in this matchup.
Why it might not
  • Independiente Santa Fe did lose one of their last five matches which shows they can be vulnerable on the road.
  • Deportivo Pereira managed to draw three of their last five games and could frustrate the visitors to earn a point.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by book

Pereira have too many low scoring draws in their recent results to trust both teams finding the net here.

Total goalsUnder 2.5 goalsPrice 1.69

Under 2.5 goals is priced at 1.69 because neither side has shown a consistent high scoring pattern recently.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Independiente Santa Fe the side to beat here at 50%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Independiente Santa Fe, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Santa Fe bring much better recent form into this trip against a struggling Pereira side. The away win price of 1.83 offers a fair reflection of the gap between these two teams.

Form and momentum

Deportivo Pereira come in poor, winning 14% of 7 on record. 0 of their 4 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 2 draws in a row.

Independiente Santa Fe come in patchy, winning 43% of 7 on record. 1 of their 2 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 22% for PER, 28% for the draw and 50% for SFE once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Independiente Santa Fe, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.83, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Independiente Santa Fe did lose one of their last five matches which shows they can be vulnerable on the road.
  • Deportivo Pereira managed to draw three of their last five games and could frustrate the visitors to earn a point.
The bottom line

We back Independiente Santa Fe for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsSFE -120
PER4.10draw3.25SFE1.83

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

PERDeportivo Pereira7 games on record
Won1
Drawn4
Lost2
  • Scored6and let in10
  • At home0 winsfrom4
  • Right now2 draws in a row
Last fiveDDLDL
SFEIndependiente Santa Fe7 games on record
Won3
Drawn3
Lost1
  • Scored11and let in7
  • On the road1 winsfrom2
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWWDW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Santa Fe away at Pereira?

Santa Fe are in decent form and play a struggling Pereira side today. The site model says the away win at 1.83 is fair. Santa Fe did lose one of their last five games though so they can slip up. What ...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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