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Betting tips › Categoria Primera A ›  Deportivo Pasto v Alianza FC

 Categoria Primera ATue 20 Oct 01:05 UTCDepartamental Libertad

Deportivo Pasto v Alianza FC tips

PASDeportivo PastoLWWDL
VS
AFCAlianza FCWLWWL
The model callDeportivo PastoMatch result1.71★★★★2 stars

Deportivo Pasto returns home to Departamental Libertad with a decent price of 1.71 to secure three points against Alianza FC. Both sides show mixed recent form but the home advantage tips this particular match towards Pasto.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$34.2
Profit$14.2
Why it might land
  • Deportivo Pasto plays this fixture at their home ground of Departamental Libertad where they look to build on recent winning form.
  • The bookmakers offer a fair decimal price of 1.71 for Deportivo Pasto to win this match outright in regulation time.
  • Alianza FC comes into this fixture after suffering a recent loss which shakes their momentum coming on the road.
Why it might not
  • Deportivo Pasto recently suffered a loss in their newest five matches which shows they can be vulnerable at the back.
  • Alianza FC won three of their last five matches which proves they can cause trouble despite being the away side here.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both teams have traded wins and losses recently while scoring goals across their last five outings.

Total goalsUnder 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Bookmakers left the over and under lines unpriced which suggests a tight tactical battle with few clear chances.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Deportivo Pasto the side to beat here at 53%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Deportivo Pasto, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Deportivo Pasto returns home to Departamental Libertad with a decent price of 1.71 to secure three points against Alianza FC. Both sides show mixed recent form but the home advantage tips this particular match towards Pasto.

Form and momentum

Deportivo Pasto come in poor, winning 29% of 7 on record. 1 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

Alianza FC come in patchy, winning 38% of 8 on record. 2 of their 4 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 53% for PAS, 27% for the draw and 20% for AFC once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Deportivo Pasto, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.71, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Deportivo Pasto recently suffered a loss in their newest five matches which shows they can be vulnerable at the back.
  • Alianza FC won three of their last five matches which proves they can cause trouble despite being the away side here.
The bottom line

We back Deportivo Pasto for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsPAS -140
PAS1.71draw3.35AFC4.50

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

PASDeportivo Pasto7 games on record
Won2
Drawn2
Lost3
  • Scored6and let in9
  • At home1 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWWDL
AFCAlianza FC8 games on record
Won3
Drawn1
Lost4
  • Scored7and let in15
  • On the road2 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLWWL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Pasto v Alianza FC value at 1.71?

The site model goes for Deportivo Pasto at 1.71 at home against Alianza FC. They have home advantage on their side. Yet Pasto lost one of their last five games so they can leak goals. What are you all...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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