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Betting tips › Primera Nacional ›  Deportivo Maipú v Gimnasia y Esgrima (Jujuy)

 Primera NacionalSun 20 Sept 19:30 UTCEstadio Omar Higinio SperduttiFinished

Deportivo Maipú v Gimnasia y Esgrima (Jujuy) tips

CDMDeportivo MaipúDDLW
1 : 1
GEJGimnasia y Esgrima (Jujuy)WWDD
The model callUnder 2.5Total goals1.56★★★★2 starsWon

Expect a tight match at Estadio Omar Higinio Sperdutti because Gimnasia arrive with consecutive draws and the under price sits at a very short 1.56.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$31.2
Profit$11.2
Why it might land
  • Gimnasia y Esgrima arrive in Mendoza on the back of consecutive draws that show they keep things tight at the back.
  • Deportivo Maipue recorded two draws in their recent four matches which points to plenty of low scoring stalemates.
  • The bookmakers price the under line down at 1.56 which suggests a low scoring battle is heavily expected here.
Why it might not
  • Deportivo Maipue did manage to win one of their last four outings which proves they can occasionally find multiple goals.
  • Gimnasia y Esgrima picked up two wins recently to show they carry an attacking threat that might break through this total.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by bookLost

Given the recent run of stalemates and tight defensive displays from both clubs, at least one clean sheet looks likely.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Deportivo Maipú the side to beat here at 46%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Under 2.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Expect a tight match at Estadio Omar Higinio Sperdutti because Gimnasia arrive with consecutive draws and the under price sits at a very short 1.56.

Form and momentum

Deportivo Maipú come in poor, winning 25% of 4 on record. 1 of their 2 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side built on a tight back line. Right now they are on 2 draws in a row.

Gimnasia y Esgrima (Jujuy) come in solid, winning 50% of 4 on record. 1 of their 2 away games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 2 wins in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 46% for CDM, 31% for the draw and 23% for GEJ once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Deportivo Maipú, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.56, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Deportivo Maipue did manage to win one of their last four outings which proves they can occasionally find multiple goals.
  • Gimnasia y Esgrima picked up two wins recently to show they carry an attacking threat that might break through this total.
The bottom line

We back Under 2.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsCDM +100
CDM2.00draw2.90GEJ3.95

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

CDMDeportivo Maipú4 games on record
Won1
Drawn2
Lost1
  • Scored3and let in3
  • At home1 winsfrom2
  • Right now2 draws in a row
Last fiveDDLW
GEJGimnasia y Esgrima (Jujuy)4 games on record
Won2
Drawn2
Lost0
  • Scored8and let in6
  • On the road1 winsfrom2
  • Right now2 wins in a row
Last fiveWWDD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Maipue and Jujuy, are we heading for a stalemate?

The site model calls this a draw because Jujuy come here on back to back stalemates and the under is priced at 1.56. On the other hand, Maipu did win one of their last four games so they can find a go...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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